湖南大学学报：社会科学版
湖南大學學報：社會科學版
호남대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of Hunan University(Social Sciences)
2015年
3期
57~63
,共null页
信贷政策 产业政策 协调度评价 距离协调度模型
信貸政策 產業政策 協調度評價 距離協調度模型
신대정책 산업정책 협조도평개 거리협조도모형
credit policy l industrial policy lcoordination evaluation; distance coordination degree model
提高信贷政策与产业政策协调度,促进产业结构调整是近年来中国人民银行着重强调的政策要求之一。采集2007年至2012年的信贷政策与产业政策相关数据对协调度进行评价,并将结果作对比分析。运用Granger因果检验初步判断贷款与产业发展的相互关系,采用熵值法确定各指标的权数,在距离协调度模型的基础上构建整体协调度模型来评价信贷政策与产业政策的协调效应。结果表明信贷政策发展度与产业政策发展度呈现逐年递增的态势,但两者之间的协调度未能维持在较高水平。
提高信貸政策與產業政策協調度,促進產業結構調整是近年來中國人民銀行著重彊調的政策要求之一。採集2007年至2012年的信貸政策與產業政策相關數據對協調度進行評價,併將結果作對比分析。運用Granger因果檢驗初步判斷貸款與產業髮展的相互關繫,採用熵值法確定各指標的權數,在距離協調度模型的基礎上構建整體協調度模型來評價信貸政策與產業政策的協調效應。結果錶明信貸政策髮展度與產業政策髮展度呈現逐年遞增的態勢,但兩者之間的協調度未能維持在較高水平。
제고신대정책여산업정책협조도,촉진산업결구조정시근년래중국인민은행착중강조적정책요구지일。채집2007년지2012년적신대정책여산업정책상관수거대협조도진행평개,병장결과작대비분석。운용Granger인과검험초보판단대관여산업발전적상호관계,채용적치법학정각지표적권수,재거리협조도모형적기출상구건정체협조도모형래평개신대정책여산업정책적협조효응。결과표명신대정책발전도여산업정책발전도정현축년체증적태세,단량자지간적협조도미능유지재교고수평。
In recent years, improving the coordination of credit policy and industrial policy to promoteindustrial restructuring has been one of the policies that the central bank have strongly emphasized. Collec-ting the credit policy and industrial policy data from 2007 to 2012 ,this paper uses Granger causality to testthe relationship between loans and industrial development and then applies the entropy method to deter-mine the index weights number. Fina!ly, an overall coordination model would be founded based on the dis-tance coordination degree model to estimate the coordination of credit policy and industrial policy. The re-suits shows that the degree of credit policy development and industrial policy development increases annu-ally, however, the degree of coordination between the two failed to remain at a high level.
