CAJ | 학술논문

文章使用1994~2011年的统计数据,并利用定性与定量方法分析了世界生物燃料乙醇的发展对我国玉米价格波动的影响。结果显示,世界生物燃料乙醇的发展是我国玉米价格上涨的主要原因之一。通过定量分析显示：在短期,当年的世界生物燃料乙醇产量上涨1%,会引起下一年的我国玉米价格上涨0.4746%;从长期来看,世界生物燃料乙醇产量每上涨1%,会使我国玉米价格上涨0.3047%。在此基础上,提出了我国应充分发挥政府的重要作用,控制玉米价格上涨和粮食安全;应继续坚持以非粮原料生产生物燃料乙醇作为发展重点等政策建议。
문장사용1994~2011년적통계수거,병이용정성여정량방법분석료세계생물연료을순적발전대아국옥미개격파동적영향。결과현시,세계생물연료을순적발전시아국옥미개격상창적주요원인지일。통과정량분석현시：재단기,당년적세계생물연료을순산량상창1%,회인기하일년적아국옥미개격상창0.4746%;종장기래간,세계생물연료을순산량매상창1%,회사아국옥미개격상창0.3047%。재차기출상,제출료아국응충분발휘정부적중요작용,공제옥미개격상창화양식안전;응계속견지이비량원료생산생물연료을순작위발전중점등정책건의。
This article uses 1994 to 2011 statistical data, using qualitative and quantitative method to analyze the im- pact of development on the world＇s bio-fuel ethanol price volatility of com. The results show that the develop- ment of the world＇s bio-fuel ethanol is one of the main reasons of corn prices, through quantitative analysis showed that： In the short term, when the world＇s bio-fuel ethanol production rose 1 percent, will cause China＇ s corn prices next year 0.4746%; the long term, the world＇s bio-fuel ethanol production rose 1 percent each, will make China＇ s corn prices rose 0.3047%. On this basis, proposed that China should give full play to the important role of the government to control corn prices and food security; should continue to adhere to the non-food raw materials to produce biofuels such as ethanol as the focus of development policy recommendations.