心理科学
心理科學
심이과학
Psychological Science
2015年
3期
680~685
,共null页
不确定性容忍度 跨期选择 贴现因子 个体差异
不確定性容忍度 跨期選擇 貼現因子 箇體差異
불학정성용인도 과기선택 첩현인자 개체차이
tolerance of uncertainty, intertemporal choice, discount factor, individual differences
采用2(不确定性容忍度:高、低)×2(跨期日期:今天/14天、今天/180天)×2(延迟奖赏值:200元、1000元)混合实验设计,探讨不同任务特征下不确定性容忍度对跨期选择的影响。结果表明:跨期日期为180天时,不确定性容忍度主效应边缘显著,不确定性容忍度与延迟奖赏值交互作用显著:在200元时低容忍度个体对延迟奖赏的折扣程度大于高容忍度个体,在1000元时无此效应;跨期日期为14天时,不确定性容忍度的主效应及其与延迟奖赏值交互作用均不显著。这表明,不确定性容忍度对跨期选择存在影响,但这种影响受到跨期日期和延迟奖赏值的调节,具有情景依赖性。
採用2(不確定性容忍度:高、低)×2(跨期日期:今天/14天、今天/180天)×2(延遲獎賞值:200元、1000元)混閤實驗設計,探討不同任務特徵下不確定性容忍度對跨期選擇的影響。結果錶明:跨期日期為180天時,不確定性容忍度主效應邊緣顯著,不確定性容忍度與延遲獎賞值交互作用顯著:在200元時低容忍度箇體對延遲獎賞的摺釦程度大于高容忍度箇體,在1000元時無此效應;跨期日期為14天時,不確定性容忍度的主效應及其與延遲獎賞值交互作用均不顯著。這錶明,不確定性容忍度對跨期選擇存在影響,但這種影響受到跨期日期和延遲獎賞值的調節,具有情景依賴性。
채용2(불학정성용인도:고、저)×2(과기일기:금천/14천、금천/180천)×2(연지장상치:200원、1000원)혼합실험설계,탐토불동임무특정하불학정성용인도대과기선택적영향。결과표명:과기일기위180천시,불학정성용인도주효응변연현저,불학정성용인도여연지장상치교호작용현저:재200원시저용인도개체대연지장상적절구정도대우고용인도개체,재1000원시무차효응;과기일기위14천시,불학정성용인도적주효응급기여연지장상치교호작용균불현저。저표명,불학정성용인도대과기선택존재영향,단저충영향수도과기일기화연지장상치적조절,구유정경의뢰성。
Tolerance of uncertainty (TU) is defined as individual differences in the tendency to react emotionally, cognitively, or behaviorally to uncertain situations. Many studies have shown that individuals who are low in TU appeared to have information processing biases. Evidence is accumulating that TU contributes to the symptoms associated with multiple anxiety and depressive disorders, and thus may be better understood as a transdiagnostic construct. Though TU has been related to a variety of cognitive and emotional constructs, the behavioral consequences of TU are still not clear. Time discounting refers to the reduction, at present, of the subjective value of outcomes that are temporally distant in the future. The decrease in value of a delayed reward may be due to the risk inherent in waiting: with increases in delay, there is a decrease in the certainty that the reward will be obtained. Little research has been conducted to explore the influences of the individual differences in TU on the preference in intertemporal choices. So the current study investigates how TU, money amount and temporal distance interact to predict individual differences in delay discounting using the choice titration procedure. We first hypothesized that TU significantly influenced the preference in intertemporal choices; participants with low TU had the higher degree of discounting future than participants with high TU. Second, we hypothesized that the effect of TU differed depending on task characteristics (i.e., money amount, and temporal distance). 474 undergraduate were divided into two groups according to their scores from the intolerance of uncertainty scale, as groups with high and low TU levels in accordance with the high-low-27-percent group method. Hence, a total of 256 students were included in the study. The experiment employed a 2 (tolerance of uncertainty: high vs. low) x 2 (reward magnitude: 200 yuan vs.1000 yuan) x 2(temporal distance: 14 days vs. 180 days) mixed experimental design with money amount as the within-participants variable and the other two as between-participants variables, the dependent variable was their discount factor. Repeated Measurement ANOVA was performed to analyze the data. The results showed that: the main effects of money amount were significant; the discount factor in the large money amount level was higher than that in the small level, indicating the presence of a magnitude effect. The main effects of temporal distance were significant, indicating that the degree of discounting decreased when extending the received times of the rewards. Compared to the participants with high TU, the participants with low TU had a lower discount factor only when the rewarded money was set at 200 yuan to receive 180 days later. That is to say, individuals with low TU overestimation of time may lead to overestimation of the cost of revenue, which would result in his/her impulsive choices in intertemporal choices. There were no significant effects of TU on decision preference in intertemporal choice under the other task features. In conclusion, the present study suggests that TU can influence the preference in intertemporal choices and the influence is context-dependent, in which factors like money amount and temporal distance play a role. Implications of these results and directions for future research are discussed.