国际金融研究
國際金融研究
국제금융연구
Studies of International Finance
2015年
6期
21~32
,共null页
林朝颖 黄志刚 杨广青 石德金
林朝穎 黃誌剛 楊廣青 石德金
림조영 황지강 양엄청 석덕금
货币政策 风险承担 非对称性 门限效应
貨幣政策 風險承擔 非對稱性 門限效應
화폐정책 풍험승담 비대칭성 문한효응
Monetary Policy; Risk-taking; Asymmetry Effect; Threshold Effect
现有货币政策风险承担渠道理论的研究主要集中于货币政策对银行风险承担的影响。而企业的风险承担更直接影响着货币政策的实施效果。本文首先通过构建数理模型分析货币政策对企业风险承担的影响.证明了不同规模企业对货币政策的风险敏感程度存在差异:然后采用面板门限回归模型检验货币政策对企业风险承担影响存在门限效应。即宽松货币政策背景下企业风险承担水平上升。紧缩货币政策背景下企业风险承担水平下降。而且小企业对货币政策的风险敏感性强于大企业。因此,央行在制定货币政策时应纳入微观企业风险感知及响应的考量。避免因过度承担风险导致货币政策实际效力与理论效力的偏离.
現有貨幣政策風險承擔渠道理論的研究主要集中于貨幣政策對銀行風險承擔的影響。而企業的風險承擔更直接影響著貨幣政策的實施效果。本文首先通過構建數理模型分析貨幣政策對企業風險承擔的影響.證明瞭不同規模企業對貨幣政策的風險敏感程度存在差異:然後採用麵闆門限迴歸模型檢驗貨幣政策對企業風險承擔影響存在門限效應。即寬鬆貨幣政策揹景下企業風險承擔水平上升。緊縮貨幣政策揹景下企業風險承擔水平下降。而且小企業對貨幣政策的風險敏感性彊于大企業。因此,央行在製定貨幣政策時應納入微觀企業風險感知及響應的攷量。避免因過度承擔風險導緻貨幣政策實際效力與理論效力的偏離.
현유화폐정책풍험승담거도이론적연구주요집중우화폐정책대은행풍험승담적영향。이기업적풍험승담경직접영향착화폐정책적실시효과。본문수선통과구건수리모형분석화폐정책대기업풍험승담적영향.증명료불동규모기업대화폐정책적풍험민감정도존재차이:연후채용면판문한회귀모형검험화폐정책대기업풍험승담영향존재문한효응。즉관송화폐정책배경하기업풍험승담수평상승。긴축화폐정책배경하기업풍험승담수평하강。이차소기업대화폐정책적풍험민감성강우대기업。인차,앙행재제정화폐정책시응납입미관기업풍험감지급향응적고량。피면인과도승담풍험도치화폐정책실제효력여이론효력적편리.
The research of risk-taking channel of monetary policy focuses mainly on the effect of monetary policy onbanks' risk-taking behaviors. Since banks are only the medium of risk transmission, the riak-taking behaviors of corporatehave direct impact on the effect of monetary policy. This paper establishes a model to analyze the impact of monetary policyon corporate risk-taking behaviors, and proves the different risk sensitivity of firms to monetary policy. Then the panel thresh-old regression model is used to analyze the threshold effect of monetary policy on corporate risk-taking behaviors. The empir-ical results show that the expansionary monetary policy encourages corporate risk-taking behaviors, and the tight monetarypolicy discourages corporate risk-taking behaviors. The risk transmission effect of monetary policy on small enterprises isgreater than that on big enterprises. Therefore the risk perception and response of enterprises should be considered whilemaking monetary policy so as to avoid the excessive risk taking behaviors which may result in the deviation of the practicaleffect from the theoretical effect of monetary policy.