CAJ | 학술논문

对丝绸之路经济带涵盖的国家进行了区域划分,从不同层面深入分析了丝绸之路经济带所涵盖四大区域的不同特征。根据不同地区的经济特征差异,构建了交易成本可变的区域均衡模型。理论分析结果显示,我国进行丝绸之路经济带建设将有望通过国际贸易交易成本的降低,增强与丝绸之路经济带相关各区域的经济贸易联系。并进行了数值模拟,分析了不同情形下与各区域进行经贸合作的效果,对比实际贸易变化可以证实模拟结果具有一定的解释力。最后根据数值模拟结果,得出了若干启示。
대사주지로경제대함개적국가진행료구역화분,종불동층면심입분석료사주지로경제대소함개사대구역적불동특정。근거불동지구적경제특정차이,구건료교역성본가변적구역균형모형。이론분석결과현시,아국진행사주지로경제대건설장유망통과국제무역교역성본적강저,증강여사주지로경제대상관각구역적경제무역련계。병진행료수치모의,분석료불동정형하여각구역진행경무합작적효과,대비실제무역변화가이증실모의결과구유일정적해석력。최후근거수치모의결과,득출료약간계시。
Firstly,this paper divides the countries of the Silk Road Economic Belt into different regions and analyzes the features of the four main regions on the Belt.Then it builds a regional equilibrium model with variable transaction costs according to the differences among the four regions.The results of theoretical analysis show that Silk Road Econom-ic Belt Construction will reduce the transaction costs of international trade and then enhance the economic links of these regions.After that,this paper analyzes the effect of regional economic and trade cooperation under different circum-stances by numerical simulation method.The simulation results are confirmed by being compared with the actual trade changes.Finally,according to the simulation results,the paper gives some advices.