CAJ | 학술논문

以2013年中国74个首批PM2．5监测城市的截面数据为研究样本，应用TOBIT模型进行雾霾与工业化发展之间的实证分析。结果表明：首先，若某城市工业增加值占GDP比提高1个百分点，那么其雾霾天数将增加约4天。其次，若某城市象征重工业化度的重要指示变量霍夫曼系数之倒数提高1个百分点，那么其雾霾天数也将增加约1天。第三，所监测城市化程度越高，则所对应的雾霾现象也越严重。据此，在经济发展模式不作调整的前提下，中国城市雾霾现象将难以解决。
이2013년중국74개수비PM2．5감측성시적절면수거위연구양본，응용TOBIT모형진행무매여공업화발전지간적실증분석。결과표명：수선，약모성시공업증가치점GDP비제고1개백분점，나요기무매천수장증가약4천。기차，약모성시상정중공업화도적중요지시변량곽부만계수지도수제고1개백분점，나요기무매천수야장증가약1천。제삼，소감측성시화정도월고，칙소대응적무매현상야월엄중。거차，재경제발전모식불작조정적전제하，중국성시무매현상장난이해결。
An empirical analysis between haze pollution and industrialization is explored by applying TOBIT model and considering the cross section data of first 74 cities whose PM2. 5 value attains in 2013. The significant findings are as follows. Firstly, if the ratio between the industrial added value and GDP increases by 1% for a certain city, then the haze days will continue about 4 days. In addition, if the reciprocal of Hoffman coefficient, an important symbol of the heavy industrialization indicator, increases by 1% for a certain city, the haze days will also last one more day. Last but not least, the higher level of urbanization in the monitoring city, the more serious the haze phenomenon will be. Therefore, according to the resuits, it is a tough job to improve the urban haze phenomenon if the economic development mode is still unadiusted.