CAJ | 학술논문

采用演化博弈模型研究政策引导下的企业跨区域迁移行为,分析承接地政府和迁移企业的演化稳定策略（ESS）。模型结果表明,迁移后获得持续增加的盈利空间、企业迁移成本、承接地政府的优惠政策以及迁出地和承接地环境规制力度的差别是影响企业迁移的重要因素;在不同的情境模式下,影响不同类型企业跨区域迁移行为的关键因素存在明显差异。在演化博弈分析的基础上,进而提出促进沿海企业向我国中西部地区有序迁移的政策建议。
채용연화박혁모형연구정책인도하적기업과구역천이행위,분석승접지정부화천이기업적연화은정책략（ESS）。모형결과표명,천이후획득지속증가적영리공간、기업천이성본、승접지정부적우혜정책이급천출지화승접지배경규제력도적차별시영향기업천이적중요인소;재불동적정경모식하,영향불동류형기업과구역천이행위적관건인소존재명현차이。재연화박혁분석적기출상,진이제출촉진연해기업향아국중서부지구유서천이적정책건의。
This paper establishes an evolutionary game model to analyze the firm migration promoted by policy guidance, and probes the evolutionarily stable strategy （ESS） between the undertaking governments and migrating enterprises. Results show that, firstly, the increasing profit margins obtained after migration, firm migration costs, undertaking governments＇ incentives, and the environmental regulation differences between emigration and undertaking regions are important factors affecting firm migration; secondly, the key factors of migration among different types of enterprises exist obvious differences in different situations. Furthermore, this paper suggestions that the enterprises, which have lost comparative advantages in coastal areas, may or- derly migrate to the Midwest areas of China.