北京社会科学
北京社會科學
북경사회과학
Social Science of Beijing
2015年
3期
30~38
,共null页
进城务工人员 社会保险 Logit回归模型
進城務工人員 社會保險 Logit迴歸模型
진성무공인원 사회보험 Logit회귀모형
migrant workers; social insurance; Logit regression model
近年来,进城务工人员的社会保障问题越来越为人们所关注.了解进城务工人员的社会保险状况,探讨现状背后的影响因素,对于明确解决进城务工人员社会保障问题的着力点,完善中国覆盖全民的社会保障制度具有重要意义.本文基于对北京市进城务工人员持续五年(2008-2012)的调查数据,运用定性与定量相结合的研究方法,对进城务工人员的社会保险参与状况及其影响因素进行了初步探讨.通过构建北京市进城务工人员社会保险影响因素的Logit回归模型,发现近年来北京市进城务工人员社会保险参与状况进展较为缓慢,且存在着显著的群体性差异.进城务工人员参保状况受到个体层面因素和企业层面因素的共同影响,并且以企业层面因素影响为主,其社会保险潜在需求与有效需求矛盾突出,社会保险数量低于社会最优状况,存在结构性缺位。
近年來,進城務工人員的社會保障問題越來越為人們所關註.瞭解進城務工人員的社會保險狀況,探討現狀揹後的影響因素,對于明確解決進城務工人員社會保障問題的著力點,完善中國覆蓋全民的社會保障製度具有重要意義.本文基于對北京市進城務工人員持續五年(2008-2012)的調查數據,運用定性與定量相結閤的研究方法,對進城務工人員的社會保險參與狀況及其影響因素進行瞭初步探討.通過構建北京市進城務工人員社會保險影響因素的Logit迴歸模型,髮現近年來北京市進城務工人員社會保險參與狀況進展較為緩慢,且存在著顯著的群體性差異.進城務工人員參保狀況受到箇體層麵因素和企業層麵因素的共同影響,併且以企業層麵因素影響為主,其社會保險潛在需求與有效需求矛盾突齣,社會保險數量低于社會最優狀況,存在結構性缺位。
근년래,진성무공인원적사회보장문제월래월위인문소관주.료해진성무공인원적사회보험상황,탐토현상배후적영향인소,대우명학해결진성무공인원사회보장문제적착력점,완선중국복개전민적사회보장제도구유중요의의.본문기우대북경시진성무공인원지속오년(2008-2012)적조사수거,운용정성여정량상결합적연구방법,대진성무공인원적사회보험삼여상황급기영향인소진행료초보탐토.통과구건북경시진성무공인원사회보험영향인소적Logit회귀모형,발현근년래북경시진성무공인원사회보험삼여상황진전교위완만,차존재착현저적군체성차이.진성무공인원삼보상황수도개체층면인소화기업층면인소적공동영향,병차이기업층면인소영향위주,기사회보험잠재수구여유효수구모순돌출,사회보험수량저우사회최우상황,존재결구성결위。
More and more famers have moved into cities to work in China since the reform and opening to the outside policy. They have made great contributions to the development of city's economy and their social security issues are attracting growing concerns. This paper analyzed social insurance participation condition and influencing factors of migrant workers based on the five years (2008 -2012 ) survey data of Beijing by establishing a Logit regression model. The study found that the participation condition of migrant workers in Beijing improved a lot but wasn't very optimistic yet: the speed was a little bit slow and there was obvious variation between different migrant worker groups. The study also found that the social insurance participation condition of migrant workers is generally influenced by both the individual level factors and the enterprise level factors, and the latter always dominates. There is a big conflict between the potential demand and the effective demand for social insurance and this kind of structural absence of social insurance resulted in the lower quantity of social insurance compared to the optimal situation.