系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2015年
6期
1493~1500
,共null页
用户均衡 出行时间不确定性 累积感知价值 到达时间感知价值
用戶均衡 齣行時間不確定性 纍積感知價值 到達時間感知價值
용호균형 출행시간불학정성 루적감지개치 도체시간감지개치
user equilibrium;travel time uncertainty;cumulative perceived value;arrival time perceived value
实际到达时间的大小直接影响出行感受,从而影响出行者的路径决策.在一个出行时间不确定的网络中,路径的实际到达时间也是不确定的,以偏好到达时间为分界点,本文对实际到达时间所处的可能区域进行了划分,在累积前景理论框架下建立了到达时间感知价值函数,在此基础上假设累积感知价值是由出行收益、出行负效用和到达时间感知价值三部分构成,构建了一个基于累积感知价值的静态网络均衡模型,探讨了均衡解的存在性和唯一性并设计了求解算法.最后,通过两个数值算例分析了模型参数改变对均衡结果的影响.
實際到達時間的大小直接影響齣行感受,從而影響齣行者的路徑決策.在一箇齣行時間不確定的網絡中,路徑的實際到達時間也是不確定的,以偏好到達時間為分界點,本文對實際到達時間所處的可能區域進行瞭劃分,在纍積前景理論框架下建立瞭到達時間感知價值函數,在此基礎上假設纍積感知價值是由齣行收益、齣行負效用和到達時間感知價值三部分構成,構建瞭一箇基于纍積感知價值的靜態網絡均衡模型,探討瞭均衡解的存在性和唯一性併設計瞭求解算法.最後,通過兩箇數值算例分析瞭模型參數改變對均衡結果的影響.
실제도체시간적대소직접영향출행감수,종이영향출행자적로경결책.재일개출행시간불학정적망락중,로경적실제도체시간야시불학정적,이편호도체시간위분계점,본문대실제도체시간소처적가능구역진행료화분,재루적전경이론광가하건립료도체시간감지개치함수,재차기출상가설루적감지개치시유출행수익、출행부효용화도체시간감지개치삼부분구성,구건료일개기우루적감지개치적정태망락균형모형,탐토료균형해적존재성화유일성병설계료구해산법.최후,통과량개수치산례분석료모형삼수개변대균형결과적영향.
The actual arrival time directly affects the travel experience,and thus influences travelers’ route choice decisions.In a network with travel time uncertainty,the arrival time is also uncertain.In such a case,taking the preferred arrival time as the watershed point,we defined several possible segments for the arrival time,and then in the framework of the cumulative prospect theory,a new function of arrival time perceived value is established.On this basis,we assume that the cumulative perceived value is a synthetic outcome in terms of the travel gain,the travel disutility and the arrival time perceived value,and then build a static network equilibrium model based on the cumulative perceived value.Furthermore,the existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium solution are examined,and the solving algorithm is also designed.Finally,the two numerical examples are conducted to analyze the effect of model parameters on the equilibrium solutions.