CAJ | 학술논문

随着全球生态危机加剧,森林的生态保护功能日益突出,以保护森林资源为名的林产品贸易保护甚嚣尘上。林产品贸易究竟有利于森林资源保护还是导致森林资源减少？文章以人均木材消耗作为森林资源的压力指标,根据世界上61个国家2010年的相关截面数据,运用多元线性回归模型,对影响木材消耗的因素进行了实证分析。结果表明：林产品出口贸易与木材消耗的关系为负向,有利于减少木材消耗;林产品进口贸易与木材消耗的关系为正向,但相较于使用本国木材来说更有利于减少木材消耗。通过研究得到林产品贸易有利于减少木材消耗进而有利于保护森林的结论,进而提出国际社会应推进林产品贸易自由化,减少林产品贸易壁垒,鼓励林产品贸易。
수착전구생태위궤가극,삼림적생태보호공능일익돌출,이보호삼림자원위명적림산품무역보호심효진상。림산품무역구경유리우삼림자원보호환시도치삼림자원감소？문장이인균목재소모작위삼림자원적압력지표,근거세계상61개국가2010년적상관절면수거,운용다원선성회귀모형,대영향목재소모적인소진행료실증분석。결과표명：림산품출구무역여목재소모적관계위부향,유리우감소목재소모;림산품진구무역여목재소모적관계위정향,단상교우사용본국목재래설경유리우감소목재소모。통과연구득도림산품무역유리우감소목재소모진이유리우보호삼림적결론,진이제출국제사회응추진림산품무역자유화,감소림산품무역벽루,고려림산품무역。
With the global increasingly serious ecological crisis, the forest ecological and environmental functions have become more and more prominent, for protecting the forest resources, forest products trade protection cause a temporary clamor. Did the forest products trade help to protect forest resources, or it reduce forest resources？ With the per capita wood consumption as the pressure index of forest resources, based on 61 countries＇ cross-sec- tion data in 2010, this paper analyses the factors that affect wood consumption by using multiple linear regression models. The result shows that the relationship between forest products export trade and wood consumption is nega- tive, so forest products export trade helps to reduce wood consumption, and the impact of forest products import trade on wood consumption is positive, but compared with the use of native wood, forest products import trade is more conducive to reduce wood consumption. According to the result, the forest products trade is conducive to re- duce wood consumption and then helps to protect forest resources, so this paper puts forward the international community should promote the forest products trade liberalization, reduce the forest products trade barriers, and encourage free forest products trade.