林业经济
林業經濟
임업경제
Forestry Economics
2015年
5期
52~57
,共null页
纸及纸板 进口贸易 产量 出口贸易 影响因素
紙及紙闆 進口貿易 產量 齣口貿易 影響因素
지급지판 진구무역 산량 출구무역 영향인소
paper and paper board; import; production; export; influencing factors
自1997年以来,中国已经成为纸及纸板生产和消费大国,2009年中国纸及纸板产量第一次超过美国,成为全球最大生产国。与此同时,中国也存在着相对产量而言较小规模的纸及纸板进口及出口贸易。通过对影响中国纸及纸板进口因素的分析,并根据1983~2012年中国造纸工业相关数据,建立多元线性回归模型,从供给因素、需求因素、原材料供应等方面对可能影响中国纸及纸板进口的指标进行了计量分析,并在此基础上得出了促进我国造纸产业健康发展及积极、可持续地参与国际贸易的对策和启示。
自1997年以來,中國已經成為紙及紙闆生產和消費大國,2009年中國紙及紙闆產量第一次超過美國,成為全毬最大生產國。與此同時,中國也存在著相對產量而言較小規模的紙及紙闆進口及齣口貿易。通過對影響中國紙及紙闆進口因素的分析,併根據1983~2012年中國造紙工業相關數據,建立多元線性迴歸模型,從供給因素、需求因素、原材料供應等方麵對可能影響中國紙及紙闆進口的指標進行瞭計量分析,併在此基礎上得齣瞭促進我國造紙產業健康髮展及積極、可持續地參與國際貿易的對策和啟示。
자1997년이래,중국이경성위지급지판생산화소비대국,2009년중국지급지판산량제일차초과미국,성위전구최대생산국。여차동시,중국야존재착상대산량이언교소규모적지급지판진구급출구무역。통과대영향중국지급지판진구인소적분석,병근거1983~2012년중국조지공업상관수거,건립다원선성회귀모형,종공급인소、수구인소、원재료공응등방면대가능영향중국지급지판진구적지표진행료계량분석,병재차기출상득출료촉진아국조지산업건강발전급적겁、가지속지삼여국제무역적대책화계시。
Since 1997,China has become a gigantic power in terms of production and consumption of paper and pa- per board products.Overtaking the US in paper and paper board production for the first time in 2009, China emerged as the world＇s biggest producer.Meanwhile, compared with production there also exists a relatively small amount of import and export of paper and paper board products.In this study a multiple linear regression model is established to analyse the possible influencing factors of Chinese paper and paper board imports from the perspec- fives of supply,demand and raw materials,after which corresponding countermeasures and enlightenment are put for- ward to promote healthier development of paper and paper board industry and its paficipation in international trade.
