CAJ | 학술논문

本文采用在2013～2014年寒假期间对内蒙古赤峰市、通辽市、锡林郭勒盟、包头市、阿拉善盟、鄂尔多斯市、兴安盟等地区的调研数据，通过一般回归方法和有序LogitModel进行实证研究。研究发现：年龄、总收入、家庭人均收入、蒙语书写能力、是否独生子女、父母文化程度、自己文化程度、住房面积、照顾老人的数量等因素对蒙古族居民的初育年龄意愿、生育理想数和生育孩子性别意愿起到影响作用，影响作用显著；年龄和家庭人均收入等因素显著影响汉族居民的初育年龄意愿、生育理想数和生育孩子性别意愿。总体来看，教育程度及经济因素越来越明显地影响蒙古族居民的生育意愿，家庭养老和本民族文化特征也在一定程度上影响到蒙古族居民的生育意愿。
본문채용재2013～2014년한가기간대내몽고적봉시、통료시、석림곽륵맹、포두시、아랍선맹、악이다사시、흥안맹등지구적조연수거，통과일반회귀방법화유서LogitModel진행실증연구。연구발현：년령、총수입、가정인균수입、몽어서사능력、시부독생자녀、부모문화정도、자기문화정도、주방면적、조고노인적수량등인소대몽고족거민적초육년령의원、생육이상수화생육해자성별의원기도영향작용，영향작용현저；년령화가정인균수입등인소현저영향한족거민적초육년령의원、생육이상수화생육해자성별의원。총체래간，교육정도급경제인소월래월명현지영향몽고족거민적생육의원，가정양로화본민족문화특정야재일정정도상영향도몽고족거민적생육의원。
In this paper, using the survey data of Tongliao, Xilin gol League, Chifeng, Alxa League, Erdos, Hinggan League of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region in 2013-2014 by supported the National Natural Science Foundation of China, through general regression and ordered age, whether the only child, he and his parents＇ Legit Model, found： These factors education level, income, family per capita income, housing area, the number of caring for the elderly and Mongolian writing ability all affect the Mongolia residents＇ fertility ideal age, fertility ideal number and child sex; Age and family per capita income all affect the Han nationality＇ fertility ideal age, fertility ideal number and child sex. Education level and the economic fac- tors of Mongolia residents are the more important influencing factors for fertility desire, family endowment and the characteristic of national culture also affect their fertility desire to a certain extent.