内蒙古民族大学学报:社会科学版
內矇古民族大學學報:社會科學版
내몽고민족대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Inner Mongolia University for the Nationalities(Social Sciences)
2015年
3期
81~85
,共null页
沪深300股指期货 现货市场 波动溢出效应 GARCH模型
滬深300股指期貨 現貨市場 波動溢齣效應 GARCH模型
호심300고지기화 현화시장 파동일출효응 GARCH모형
CSI 300 stock index futures, Spot market, Volatility spillover effect,GARCH model
本文通过选取沪深300股指期货、上证指数以及深证成指的样本数据,经过预处理后,通过建立GARCH模型,在GARCH模型的基础上研究了沪深股指期货收益率波动对上证综指收益率以及深证成指收益率的波动性的影响,得出股指期货收益率的波动会加剧上证综指和深证成指收益率的波动。
本文通過選取滬深300股指期貨、上證指數以及深證成指的樣本數據,經過預處理後,通過建立GARCH模型,在GARCH模型的基礎上研究瞭滬深股指期貨收益率波動對上證綜指收益率以及深證成指收益率的波動性的影響,得齣股指期貨收益率的波動會加劇上證綜指和深證成指收益率的波動。
본문통과선취호심300고지기화、상증지수이급심증성지적양본수거,경과예처리후,통과건립GARCH모형,재GARCH모형적기출상연구료호심고지기화수익솔파동대상증종지수익솔이급심증성지수익솔적파동성적영향,득출고지기화수익솔적파동회가극상증종지화심증성지수익솔적파동。
The establishment of GARCH model was processed by the sample data of CSI 300 stock in- dex futures, Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Composite Index. This research was based on GARCH model and analyzed the influence of the volatility effect of CSI 300 stock index futures to the yield volatility of Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Composite Index. The result of model estimation in dicated that the yield volatility of Stock index future has strong influence on the yield fluctuation of Shang- hai Composite Index and Shenzhen Composite Index.