统计研究
統計研究
통계연구
Statistical Research
2015年
5期
20~25
,共null页
转移支付 基尼系数 均等化效应分解 财政干预 聚集趋势
轉移支付 基尼繫數 均等化效應分解 財政榦預 聚集趨勢
전이지부 기니계수 균등화효응분해 재정간예 취집추세
Fiscal Transfer; Gini Index; Decomposition of Equalization Effect; Fiscal Intervention; Convergence Tendency
本文提出一种新的结构分解方法,分析我国转移支付均等化地方财力的效应。该方法将均等化效应分解为两个部分:反映中央政府财政干预的水平均等化效应,与反映地方财政财力聚集趋势的垂直均等化效应。对2001—2012年我国省域相关数据的实证研究结果表明,中央政府的转移支付在均等化地方财力方面产生了积极的效果,且均等化效应出现增强趋势;转移支付均等化的水平效应与垂直效应都产生了积极的效果,且水平均等化效应呈现出逐年增强趋势,中央政府通过财政干预、缩小地方财力差距实现了区域均衡发展目标;进一步增大转移支付的力度、更多地向经济欠发达地区倾斜,都有利于我国地方财力的均等化。
本文提齣一種新的結構分解方法,分析我國轉移支付均等化地方財力的效應。該方法將均等化效應分解為兩箇部分:反映中央政府財政榦預的水平均等化效應,與反映地方財政財力聚集趨勢的垂直均等化效應。對2001—2012年我國省域相關數據的實證研究結果錶明,中央政府的轉移支付在均等化地方財力方麵產生瞭積極的效果,且均等化效應齣現增彊趨勢;轉移支付均等化的水平效應與垂直效應都產生瞭積極的效果,且水平均等化效應呈現齣逐年增彊趨勢,中央政府通過財政榦預、縮小地方財力差距實現瞭區域均衡髮展目標;進一步增大轉移支付的力度、更多地嚮經濟欠髮達地區傾斜,都有利于我國地方財力的均等化。
본문제출일충신적결구분해방법,분석아국전이지부균등화지방재력적효응。해방법장균등화효응분해위량개부분:반영중앙정부재정간예적수평균등화효응,여반영지방재정재력취집추세적수직균등화효응。대2001—2012년아국성역상관수거적실증연구결과표명,중앙정부적전이지부재균등화지방재력방면산생료적겁적효과,차균등화효응출현증강추세;전이지부균등화적수평효응여수직효응도산생료적겁적효과,차수평균등화효응정현출축년증강추세,중앙정부통과재정간예、축소지방재력차거실현료구역균형발전목표;진일보증대전이지부적력도、경다지향경제흠발체지구경사,도유리우아국지방재력적균등화。
This paper promotes a decomposition method of analyzing equalization effect of fiscal capacity in China, which is decomposed into two parts, one is horizon effect that comes from fiscal intervention of central government ; and the other is vertical effect that comes from convergence tendency of provincial revenue. Applying the formula to 2001--2012 China' s relative data yields several interesting results as follows: fiscal transfer has a positive equalization effect on fiscal capacity of provinces, which has been increasing tendency; both of the horizon effect and the vertical effect have positive influence, Chinese government has realized the target of area equilibrial economical development by fiscal intervention and gap reduction of provincial revenue; to enlarge scale of fiscal transfer and to give more fiscal transfer share to less developed areas will be better for equalization of fiscal capacity of provinces.