中国科技论坛
中國科技論罈
중국과기론단
Forum on Science and Technology in China
2015年
7期
22~27
,共null页
科技进步 劳动价值理论 贡献率
科技進步 勞動價值理論 貢獻率
과기진보 노동개치이론 공헌솔
Progress of science and technology; Theory of the labor value; Contribution rate
文章遵循“索洛余值法”原理,采用新的方法估算要素产出弹性,利用1953—2013年的相关数据测度了中国经济增长的要素贡献率。结论表明：现阶段物质资本是推动中国经济增长的主要动力,劳动力的“红利”日渐消失,科技进步对经济增长的贡献率在不断下降。因此,中国急需转变经济发展方式,政府应重点关注科技创新对经济增长的作用,重视提高科技成果转化率和劳动者素质,保持适度规模物质资本投资以维持较高速度的经济增长。
文章遵循“索洛餘值法”原理,採用新的方法估算要素產齣彈性,利用1953—2013年的相關數據測度瞭中國經濟增長的要素貢獻率。結論錶明：現階段物質資本是推動中國經濟增長的主要動力,勞動力的“紅利”日漸消失,科技進步對經濟增長的貢獻率在不斷下降。因此,中國急需轉變經濟髮展方式,政府應重點關註科技創新對經濟增長的作用,重視提高科技成果轉化率和勞動者素質,保持適度規模物質資本投資以維持較高速度的經濟增長。
문장준순“색락여치법”원리,채용신적방법고산요소산출탄성,이용1953—2013년적상관수거측도료중국경제증장적요소공헌솔。결론표명：현계단물질자본시추동중국경제증장적주요동력,노동력적“홍리”일점소실,과기진보대경제증장적공헌솔재불단하강。인차,중국급수전변경제발전방식,정부응중점관주과기창신대경제증장적작용,중시제고과기성과전화솔화노동자소질,보지괄도규모물질자본투자이유지교고속도적경제증장。
Based on principles of the Solow residual method, the paper measures factors contribution of Chinese economic growth from 1953 to 2013 by a new method of estimating output elasticity. The conclusion shows that, at present, the physical capital is the main power to promote the growth of Chinese economy, the dividend that economic growth relies on the quantity of labors has been gradually disappear, the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress are also falling. So the task of transformation of the pattern of e- conomic development is very urgent, the government should focus on the role of technological innovation, effectively raise the conver- sion of scientific and technological achievements and laborer quality promotion, maintaining moderate capital investment scale is able to promote a certain scale economic growth.
