CAJ | 학술논문

文章运用1978-2013年相关金融经济统计数据,对西藏金融发展与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明,西藏金融发展对经济增长始终具有正向促进作用;而西藏经济增长反作用于金融发展却具有滞后效应;通过格兰杰因果检验发现西藏金融发展与经济增长在较长期限内互为格兰杰因果的假设成立,但短期假设并不成立。因此,大力发展西藏特色优势产业、出台产业扶持和金融优惠政策、积极构建西藏特点现代金融服务体系、努力提升西藏城乡居民收入水平,将加快西藏经济持续健康发展的能力。
문장운용1978-2013년상관금융경제통계수거,대서장금융발전여경제증장지간적관계진행료실증분석。결과표명,서장금융발전대경제증장시종구유정향촉진작용;이서장경제증장반작용우금융발전각구유체후효응;통과격란걸인과검험발현서장금융발전여경제증장재교장기한내호위격란걸인과적가설성립,단단기가설병불성립。인차,대력발전서장특색우세산업、출태산업부지화금융우혜정책、적겁구건서장특점현대금융복무체계、노력제승서장성향거민수입수평,장가쾌서장경제지속건강발전적능력。
In this article the financial and economic statistics data of 1978-2013 is used to analyze the relation-ship between financial development and economic growth in Tibet empirically. The results show that Tibet＇s fi-nancial development always plays a positive role in promoting economic growth;and the economic growth of Ti-bet reacts to the financial development with a lagged effect in the short term;Through the Granger Causality Testwe find that financial development and economic growth in Tibet exist mutual Granger Causality in the long term,but not in the short term. Therefore, it is necessary to develop Tibet characteristic advantage industry, to intro-duce industry support and financial preferential policies, to actively build modern financial service system, andto increase the income of urban and rural residents of Tibet in order to accelerate the development of Tibet＇s sus-tained and healthy economic.