CAJ | 학술논문

在全球金融危机爆发后,中国就业在受到重创之后快速回弹,这与政府实施的积极财政政策是否相关？为此,本文通过扩展的内生经济增长模型解释财政政策就业效应的微观作用机制,并应用因子分析法实证检验中国财政政策对劳动力市场动态均衡的影响效果。研究结果发现：财政政策对稳定劳动力市场均衡具有积极作用,而且税收政策的效应强于财政支出的效应;1990—2012年以来,伴随着经济周期的波动,财政政策对劳动力市场动态均衡的影响经历了弱显性期、显性期、效用增强期三个阶段。
재전구금융위궤폭발후,중국취업재수도중창지후쾌속회탄,저여정부실시적적겁재정정책시부상관？위차,본문통과확전적내생경제증장모형해석재정정책취업효응적미관작용궤제,병응용인자분석법실증검험중국재정정책대노동력시장동태균형적영향효과。연구결과발현：재정정책대은정노동력시장균형구유적겁작용,이차세수정책적효응강우재정지출적효응;1990—2012년이래,반수착경제주기적파동,재정정책대노동력시장동태균형적영향경력료약현성기、현성기、효용증강기삼개계단。
After financial crisis, China employment rebound quickly. Did fiscal policy has a role？ This article extends the endogenous economic growth model to explain the microscopic mechanism of employment effects of fiscal policy, and inspections the effects of fiscal policy on the labor market dynamic equilibrium by factor analysis method. Fiscal policy has a promoting effect on labor market stability equilibrium. And the effect of tax policy is stronger than expenditure policy. Since 1990- 2011, fiscal policy＇s effect has experienced three stages of the weak significant period, the significant and enhancing period. Further explore the microscopic mechanism of fiscal policy effect and experience data can optimize the govenmaent macroscopic decision.