商业研究
商業研究
상업연구
Commercial Research
2015年
7期
13~19
,共null页
农村居民 消费 纯收入 非参数 核函数
農村居民 消費 純收入 非參數 覈函數
농촌거민 소비 순수입 비삼수 핵함수
rural residents;consumption;net income;nonparametric;kernel function
本文基于核方法分别建立了东中西部农村居民消费与收入关系的面板数据固定效应非参数模型,并运用1991-2013年全国29个省市的数据进行实证检验,结果显示:东中西部农村居民的边际消费倾向存在明显差异,东部地区边际消费倾向波动变化最敏感,西部地区边际消费倾向波动变化持续性相对较强;目前东部地区农村居民的边际消费倾向还有下降趋势,中部地区农村居民的边际消费倾向则有持续增长的态势,西部地区农村居民的边际消费倾向趋于平稳。
本文基于覈方法分彆建立瞭東中西部農村居民消費與收入關繫的麵闆數據固定效應非參數模型,併運用1991-2013年全國29箇省市的數據進行實證檢驗,結果顯示:東中西部農村居民的邊際消費傾嚮存在明顯差異,東部地區邊際消費傾嚮波動變化最敏感,西部地區邊際消費傾嚮波動變化持續性相對較彊;目前東部地區農村居民的邊際消費傾嚮還有下降趨勢,中部地區農村居民的邊際消費傾嚮則有持續增長的態勢,西部地區農村居民的邊際消費傾嚮趨于平穩。
본문기우핵방법분별건립료동중서부농촌거민소비여수입관계적면판수거고정효응비삼수모형,병운용1991-2013년전국29개성시적수거진행실증검험,결과현시:동중서부농촌거민적변제소비경향존재명현차이,동부지구변제소비경향파동변화최민감,서부지구변제소비경향파동변화지속성상대교강;목전동부지구농촌거민적변제소비경향환유하강추세,중부지구농촌거민적변제소비경향칙유지속증장적태세,서부지구농촌거민적변제소비경향추우평은。
In order to empirically analyze the regional differences of rural residents′marginal consumption tendency in eastern, central and western regions of China, three panel data fixed effect nonparametric models for rural residents′con-sumption and net income are respectively established by kernel method, and an empirical test is carried out with data of 29 provinces ( cities) from 1991 to 2013.Results show rural residents′marginal consumption tendency in eastern, cen-tral and western areas of China is different obviously, i.e., the fluctuation of the marginal consumption tendency in east-ern areas is highly sensitive and the duration of fluctuation in western areas is strong;the rural residents′marginal con-sumption propensity in eastern regions shows a downward trend, shows a sustained growth trend in the central regions, and tends to be stable in the western regions.