鄱阳湖学刊
鄱暘湖學刊
파양호학간
2015年
3期
5~36
,共null页
经济增长 环境污染 环境库兹涅茨曲线 污染转移 环境规制
經濟增長 環境汙染 環境庫玆涅茨麯線 汙染轉移 環境規製
경제증장 배경오염 배경고자열자곡선 오염전이 배경규제
economic growth; environmental quality; The Environmental Kuznets Curve; pollution diversion; environmental regulation
经济增长与环境污染关系的研究,按照时间先后顺序大致可分为增长极限说、环境库兹涅茨曲线假说（EKC）以及对环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的质疑三个发展阶段。由于环境库兹涅茨曲线假说具有强烈的政策含义,一经提出就成为了研究热点。现有的文献不仅对倒U型EKC曲线的形成原因进行了充分研究,且随着研究的推进,对环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的争论和质疑也越来越多,这主要集中在EKC模型的有效性、EKC曲线形状的非唯一性、国际贸易是否带来污染转移、FDI的环境效应以及EKC曲线转折点（turning point）出现的时间等方面,存在着相互对立的研究结论。与此同时,国内学者以我国为研究对象进行了大量的实证分析,并提出了很多有针对性的政策建议。多数文献认为,不存在适合所有污染物的EKC曲线,环境政策和技术创新对于改善环境意义重大。因此,关于经济增长与环境污染的动态模型研究还有很大的完善空间,将计量方法运用于污染排放与经济增长关系的分析仍将是研究热点之一。
經濟增長與環境汙染關繫的研究,按照時間先後順序大緻可分為增長極限說、環境庫玆涅茨麯線假說（EKC）以及對環境庫玆涅茨麯線假說的質疑三箇髮展階段。由于環境庫玆涅茨麯線假說具有彊烈的政策含義,一經提齣就成為瞭研究熱點。現有的文獻不僅對倒U型EKC麯線的形成原因進行瞭充分研究,且隨著研究的推進,對環境庫玆涅茨麯線假說的爭論和質疑也越來越多,這主要集中在EKC模型的有效性、EKC麯線形狀的非唯一性、國際貿易是否帶來汙染轉移、FDI的環境效應以及EKC麯線轉摺點（turning point）齣現的時間等方麵,存在著相互對立的研究結論。與此同時,國內學者以我國為研究對象進行瞭大量的實證分析,併提齣瞭很多有針對性的政策建議。多數文獻認為,不存在適閤所有汙染物的EKC麯線,環境政策和技術創新對于改善環境意義重大。因此,關于經濟增長與環境汙染的動態模型研究還有很大的完善空間,將計量方法運用于汙染排放與經濟增長關繫的分析仍將是研究熱點之一。
경제증장여배경오염관계적연구,안조시간선후순서대치가분위증장겁한설、배경고자열자곡선가설（EKC）이급대배경고자열자곡선가설적질의삼개발전계단。유우배경고자열자곡선가설구유강렬적정책함의,일경제출취성위료연구열점。현유적문헌불부대도U형EKC곡선적형성원인진행료충분연구,차수착연구적추진,대배경고자열자곡선가설적쟁론화질의야월래월다,저주요집중재EKC모형적유효성、EKC곡선형상적비유일성、국제무역시부대래오염전이、FDI적배경효응이급EKC곡선전절점（turning point）출현적시간등방면,존재착상호대립적연구결론。여차동시,국내학자이아국위연구대상진행료대량적실증분석,병제출료흔다유침대성적정책건의。다수문헌인위,불존재괄합소유오염물적EKC곡선,배경정책화기술창신대우개선배경의의중대。인차,관우경제증장여배경오염적동태모형연구환유흔대적완선공간,장계량방법운용우오염배방여경제증장관계적분석잉장시연구열점지일。
The issues of economic growth and environment have experienced three stages, namely, ＂The Limit to Growth＂, the hypothesis of Environmental Kuznets Curve（EKC）, and the debate of the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis. The Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis became a research hotspot when it was first proposed because of its forceful policy implications. The current literature fully investigates the causes of the formation of the converse U type of the EKC, and with further research, there have been more and more debates on the EKC, which mainly focus on the effectiveness of the EKC model, the nonuniqueness of EKC shape, the environmental effects of international trade and FDI, and the timing of turning point of the EKC curve. As a result, there appear many contradicted conclusions. Meanwhile, domestic scholars have done a lot of positive？analysis of pollutants in China and put forward a lot of policy suggestions. Most of the study results come to the same conclusion that the EKC is not fit for all pollutants and environmental policies and technological innovation are significant for improving environmental quality. Therefore, it is still a long way for us to research the dynamic models of the economic growth and environmental pollution. The recently developed econometric methods which have been applied to analyze pollutants will continue to be one of the research hotspots in the coming years.
