南华大学学报:社会科学版
南華大學學報:社會科學版
남화대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Nanhua University(Social Science Edition)
2015年
3期
54~58
,共null页
时间序列 长记忆性 V/S 有效性
時間序列 長記憶性 V/S 有效性
시간서렬 장기억성 V/S 유효성
financial time series; long memory; V/S test; validity
文章采集上证50综合指数及其成分股数据进行V/S长记忆性检验,实证发现:V/S方法具有较好的稳健性,但其计算复杂度较高,不适合处理海量的数据;采用日、周或月三种采样间隔所得到数据的检验结果有显著差异。增大采样时间间隔虽然可以减少数据量、简化计算,但将导致检验结论不一致;上证50综合指数检验结果与其成分股数据检验结果之间存在明显区别,由此可见,综指与其成分股的长记忆性判断不可混为一谈。实践中应谨慎对待V/S检验结果。
文章採集上證50綜閤指數及其成分股數據進行V/S長記憶性檢驗,實證髮現:V/S方法具有較好的穩健性,但其計算複雜度較高,不適閤處理海量的數據;採用日、週或月三種採樣間隔所得到數據的檢驗結果有顯著差異。增大採樣時間間隔雖然可以減少數據量、簡化計算,但將導緻檢驗結論不一緻;上證50綜閤指數檢驗結果與其成分股數據檢驗結果之間存在明顯區彆,由此可見,綜指與其成分股的長記憶性判斷不可混為一談。實踐中應謹慎對待V/S檢驗結果。
문장채집상증50종합지수급기성분고수거진행V/S장기억성검험,실증발현:V/S방법구유교호적은건성,단기계산복잡도교고,불괄합처리해량적수거;채용일、주혹월삼충채양간격소득도수거적검험결과유현저차이。증대채양시간간격수연가이감소수거량、간화계산,단장도치검험결론불일치;상증50종합지수검험결과여기성분고수거검험결과지간존재명현구별,유차가견,종지여기성분고적장기억성판단불가혼위일담。실천중응근신대대V/S검험결과。
The paper did V/S Test with the data of SSE50 index and its 50 constituent stocks in Shanghai Security Exchange and also found that : The V/S method has high complexity and time-consuming in calculation, so it may not be suitable for handling tnassive amounts of data;under different collected ways of data( day, week and month), the results are significantly different in the V/S test of long memory ;increasing the sampling interval can reduce the amount of data and simplify the calculation, but it will lead to an inconsis- tent conclusions of the test; the long memory test results of 50 constituent stocks of SSE50 index are not very consistent, thus, we can- not confuse the results of them. In a word, the long memory test results still should be treated seriously.