太平洋学报
太平洋學報
태평양학보
Pacific Journal
2015年
7期
50~64
,共null页
21世纪海上丝绸之路 安全风险 创造性应对 非传统安全 合作应对
21世紀海上絲綢之路 安全風險 創造性應對 非傳統安全 閤作應對
21세기해상사주지로 안전풍험 창조성응대 비전통안전 합작응대
the 21^st Century Maritime Silk Road; security risks; creatively coping; non-traditional security ; cooperate to cope
建设“21世纪海上丝绸之路”(以下简称“海丝路”)的倡议自2013年10月正式提出以来,一直是一个热点研究议题。在完整把握“海丝路”丰富内涵的基础上,本文考察了其建设过程中可能面临的安全风险,并提出了应对策略。通过运用文献研究法、案例研究法、数据分析法等多种研究方法对上述问题进行详细梳理、分析和论证,本文认为建设“海丝路”过程中可能面临的安全风险有:可能引发美国“亚太再平衡”的进一步举措;可能导致印度的担忧和反制;沿线热点安全问题形成的干扰;沿线的非传统安全威胁。创造性应对上述安全风险的可能措施有:将美国及其盟友纳入“海丝路”建设并做好反制准备;理性处理与印度之间的矛盾分歧;创造性解决周边热点安全问题;合作应对沿线非传统安全问题。
建設“21世紀海上絲綢之路”(以下簡稱“海絲路”)的倡議自2013年10月正式提齣以來,一直是一箇熱點研究議題。在完整把握“海絲路”豐富內涵的基礎上,本文攷察瞭其建設過程中可能麵臨的安全風險,併提齣瞭應對策略。通過運用文獻研究法、案例研究法、數據分析法等多種研究方法對上述問題進行詳細梳理、分析和論證,本文認為建設“海絲路”過程中可能麵臨的安全風險有:可能引髮美國“亞太再平衡”的進一步舉措;可能導緻印度的擔憂和反製;沿線熱點安全問題形成的榦擾;沿線的非傳統安全威脅。創造性應對上述安全風險的可能措施有:將美國及其盟友納入“海絲路”建設併做好反製準備;理性處理與印度之間的矛盾分歧;創造性解決週邊熱點安全問題;閤作應對沿線非傳統安全問題。
건설“21세기해상사주지로”(이하간칭“해사로”)적창의자2013년10월정식제출이래,일직시일개열점연구의제。재완정파악“해사로”봉부내함적기출상,본문고찰료기건설과정중가능면림적안전풍험,병제출료응대책략。통과운용문헌연구법、안례연구법、수거분석법등다충연구방법대상술문제진행상세소리、분석화론증,본문인위건설“해사로”과정중가능면림적안전풍험유:가능인발미국“아태재평형”적진일보거조;가능도치인도적담우화반제;연선열점안전문제형성적간우;연선적비전통안전위협。창조성응대상술안전풍험적가능조시유:장미국급기맹우납입“해사로”건설병주호반제준비;이성처리여인도지간적모순분기;창조성해결주변열점안전문제;합작응대연선비전통안전문제。
Since being officially put forward on October 2013, the propose that constructing the 21^st Century Maritime Silk Road (the Road) has all through being a hot research issue. Based on completely grasping the rich connotation of the Road, this paper studies the probable security risks when constructing the Road and proposes the countermeasures. After carding, analyzing and demonstrating in detail by using literature study method and case study method, data analysis method, this paper gets the conclusions as follows: The security risks in the process of constructing the Road are: the further actions of the US "Asia-Pacific Rebalance" ; India's worry and counter ; interference of hot-spot security issues along the line ; non-traditional security threats along the line. The probable measures of creatively coping the security risks above are: bring the US and its allies to the construction of the Road and make full preparations to counter it ; rationally managing the contradictions and divergences with India; creatively solving the peripheral hot-spot security issues; cooperating to cope the non-traditional security threats along the line.