CAJ | 학술논문

文章首先基于DEA—Malmquist生产率指数，实证测算了1995～2013年间中国29个省（直辖市、自治区）的全要素生产率（TFP）及技术进步、技术效率指数。其次，通过实证分析讨论全要素生产率以及技术进步、技术效率指数对我国区域就业的影响。结果表明，全要素生产率（TFP）和技术进步对就业的拉动作用均显著为负，但是技术效率对于就业的影响并不显著。此外，实际工资水平的上升对就业具有负效应，而产出水平的增加有利于就业人口的增加。因此，文章建议，在经济新常态背景下，应以产业结构升级为基础，以技术进步为动力，提高科研成果转化为产出的效率，从供需两个角度为就业量的增加创造机会。
문장수선기우DEA—Malmquist생산솔지수，실증측산료1995～2013년간중국29개성（직할시、자치구）적전요소생산솔（TFP）급기술진보、기술효솔지수。기차，통과실증분석토론전요소생산솔이급기술진보、기술효솔지수대아국구역취업적영향。결과표명，전요소생산솔（TFP）화기술진보대취업적랍동작용균현저위부，단시기술효솔대우취업적영향병불현저。차외，실제공자수평적상승대취업구유부효응，이산출수평적증가유리우취업인구적증가。인차，문장건의，재경제신상태배경하，응이산업결구승급위기출，이기술진보위동력，제고과연성과전화위산출적효솔，종공수량개각도위취업량적증가창조궤회。
First, this article used the DEA model to measure the technological progress, the technical efficiency and Malmquist productivity indexes in 29 provinces, municipalities directly under the central government and autonomous regions based on the province level panel data in China from 1995 to 2013. Second, it constructed a framework to analyze the relations between the technological progress, the technical efficiency and regional employment. The results are that technological progress has significantly negative effects on the employment, but technical efficiency has no significant impact on the employment, Furthermore, real wage has negative effects on the employment, while GDP has positive effects. Therefore, in new economic normal, we should base on the upgrading of the industrial structure and improve the efficiency of high scientific research results into out- put.