国际贸易问题
國際貿易問題
국제무역문제
Journal of International Trade
2015年
8期
3~13
,共null页
TPP 高端制造业 复杂网络 社团分析
TPP 高耑製造業 複雜網絡 社糰分析
TPP 고단제조업 복잡망락 사단분석
TPP; High- end manufacturing; Complex networks; Community analysis
本文对TPP背景下中国和美国在亚太地区高端制造业出口情况对比分析，并构建1992—2013年世界高端制造业贸易网络，利用Blondel算法对世界高端制造业贸易网络的社团划分及其演化进行分析。研究表明2009年美国加入TPP以来，美国高端制造业出口占亚太经济体高端制造业进口比重显著提高，中国所占比重有所下降。世界高端制造业贸易网络社团的演化经历了“发达国家主导”、“亚太地区崛起”和“后金融危机”三个阶段，2009年后由原欧非、亚太两个社团分裂为欧非、亚太、TPP三个社团，TPP社团的迅速崛起和美国的强势加入吸引了东亚经济体的纷纷加入，中国却被拒之门外。美国在亚太高端制造业角逐中已抢占先机，中国面临在亚太高端制造业生产网络中被边缘化挑战。
本文對TPP揹景下中國和美國在亞太地區高耑製造業齣口情況對比分析，併構建1992—2013年世界高耑製造業貿易網絡，利用Blondel算法對世界高耑製造業貿易網絡的社糰劃分及其縯化進行分析。研究錶明2009年美國加入TPP以來，美國高耑製造業齣口佔亞太經濟體高耑製造業進口比重顯著提高，中國所佔比重有所下降。世界高耑製造業貿易網絡社糰的縯化經歷瞭“髮達國傢主導”、“亞太地區崛起”和“後金融危機”三箇階段，2009年後由原歐非、亞太兩箇社糰分裂為歐非、亞太、TPP三箇社糰，TPP社糰的迅速崛起和美國的彊勢加入吸引瞭東亞經濟體的紛紛加入，中國卻被拒之門外。美國在亞太高耑製造業角逐中已搶佔先機，中國麵臨在亞太高耑製造業生產網絡中被邊緣化挑戰。
본문대TPP배경하중국화미국재아태지구고단제조업출구정황대비분석，병구건1992—2013년세계고단제조업무역망락，이용Blondel산법대세계고단제조업무역망락적사단화분급기연화진행분석。연구표명2009년미국가입TPP이래，미국고단제조업출구점아태경제체고단제조업진구비중현저제고，중국소점비중유소하강。세계고단제조업무역망락사단적연화경력료“발체국가주도”、“아태지구굴기”화“후금융위궤”삼개계단，2009년후유원구비、아태량개사단분렬위구비、아태、TPP삼개사단，TPP사단적신속굴기화미국적강세가입흡인료동아경제체적분분가입，중국각피거지문외。미국재아태고단제조업각축중이창점선궤，중국면림재아태고단제조업생산망락중피변연화도전。
This paper conducts a comparative analysis of the high- end manu- facturing exports of China and the United States in the Asian- Pacific region un- der the background of TPP, constructs a world trade network of the high- end manufacturing in 1992- 2013, and studies the division and evolution of the net- work through Blondel algorithm. The studies have shown that the proportion of the high - end manufacturing exports of the United States to the Asian - Pacific economies have increased significantly since the US joined the TPP in 2009 while that of China has declined. The evolution of the world＇ s trade communi- ty network of high- end manufacturing has experienced three stages, which are “Dominated by the Developed Countries” , “Rise of the Asia- Pacific Region” and “After Financial Crisis” . In 2009, the former Europe- Africa and Asia- Eu- rope communities split into three communities： Europe- Africa, Asia- Europe and TPP communities. The rapid rise of the TPP community and the joining of the United States attracted the East Asian economies to join in, but China was ex- eluded. With the TPP platform and “re- industrialization” , “export doubling” and other measures, in the compete of high- end manufacturing in Asia- Pacific, the United States has seized the initiative, which sets China facing the challenge of being marginalized in the high - end manufacturing network in the Asian - Pa- cific region.
