CAJ | 학술논문

使用2000～2011年世界投入产出表数据测算包括中国在内39个国家的GVC地位指数，分析各国国际分工地位的动态变化．研究结果表明，发展中国家的国际分工地位低于发达国家。但前者呈现上升态势，后者出现下降趋势。利用面板回归和门槛回归方法考察主要影响因素对国际分工地位的作用规律．发现：随着技术创新水平的提升，国际分工地位得到提升，但影响逐渐递减；交易费用下降促进国际分工地位上升，但作用效果随其降低逐渐下降；当人力资本达到一定水平后，其对国际分工地位才有显著正向影响；当外商直接投资达到门槛水平后，其对国家分工地位的正向作用消失；公共产品的增加有利于一国国际分工地位的提升。
사용2000～2011년세계투입산출표수거측산포괄중국재내39개국가적GVC지위지수，분석각국국제분공지위적동태변화．연구결과표명，발전중국가적국제분공지위저우발체국가。단전자정현상승태세，후자출현하강추세。이용면판회귀화문함회귀방법고찰주요영향인소대국제분공지위적작용규률．발현：수착기술창신수평적제승，국제분공지위득도제승，단영향축점체감；교역비용하강촉진국제분공지위상승，단작용효과수기강저축점하강；당인력자본체도일정수평후，기대국제분공지위재유현저정향영향；당외상직접투자체도문함수평후，기대국가분공지위적정향작용소실；공공산품적증가유리우일국국제분공지위적제승。
Based on the WIOD database, applying the ＂GVC position index＂, and using the panel data and threshold regression method, the paper measures and analyzes the intemational specialization status of 39 countries from 2000 to 2011. The results show that the specialization status of developing countries is lower than that of developed countries, but the former is increasing while the latter is decreasing; As technology upgrades, a country＇s specialization status is raised, but the effect is diminishing; The reduction of transaction costs can raise the specialization status, but the effect is also diminishing; When human capital reaches a certain level, it can significantly promote the specialization status; When foreign direct investment reaches its threshold, the positive effect of FDI is fading away; The increasing of public goods strengthens the country＇s specialization status.