技术经济与管理研究
技術經濟與管理研究
기술경제여관리연구
Technoeconomics & Management Research
2015年
9期
28-32
,共5页
服务贸易%经济增长%货物贸易%服务人才
服務貿易%經濟增長%貨物貿易%服務人纔
복무무역%경제증장%화물무역%복무인재
Service trade export%Economic growth%Trade of goods%Talents of service
文章通过考察1982-2012年我国服务贸易出口的状况, 利用协整和误差修正模型实证分析了我国服务贸易出口与经济增长的关系, 结果发现服务贸易出口的短期变动对GDP存在正向影响, 且两者间存在长期动态均衡关系, 并通过服务贸易出口对经济增长的贡献度和拉动度发现服务贸易出口对我国经济增长的促进作用不大, 这是由我国服务业发展水平低、 发展缓慢以及结构不合理, 服务贸易的长期逆差, 货物发展与服务贸易发展不协调, 东、 中西部地区服务贸易发展不协调等原因引起的. 基于此, 文章提出加强服务贸易相关产业的协调与支持, 巩固我国具有比较优势的服务贸易传统领域, 优化服务贸易结构等措施. 文章的研究结果对于提升我国服务贸易发展的水平, 促进经济增长有一定的借鉴意义.
文章通過攷察1982-2012年我國服務貿易齣口的狀況, 利用協整和誤差脩正模型實證分析瞭我國服務貿易齣口與經濟增長的關繫, 結果髮現服務貿易齣口的短期變動對GDP存在正嚮影響, 且兩者間存在長期動態均衡關繫, 併通過服務貿易齣口對經濟增長的貢獻度和拉動度髮現服務貿易齣口對我國經濟增長的促進作用不大, 這是由我國服務業髮展水平低、 髮展緩慢以及結構不閤理, 服務貿易的長期逆差, 貨物髮展與服務貿易髮展不協調, 東、 中西部地區服務貿易髮展不協調等原因引起的. 基于此, 文章提齣加彊服務貿易相關產業的協調與支持, 鞏固我國具有比較優勢的服務貿易傳統領域, 優化服務貿易結構等措施. 文章的研究結果對于提升我國服務貿易髮展的水平, 促進經濟增長有一定的藉鑒意義.
문장통과고찰1982-2012년아국복무무역출구적상황, 이용협정화오차수정모형실증분석료아국복무무역출구여경제증장적관계, 결과발현복무무역출구적단기변동대GDP존재정향영향, 차량자간존재장기동태균형관계, 병통과복무무역출구대경제증장적공헌도화랍동도발현복무무역출구대아국경제증장적촉진작용불대, 저시유아국복무업발전수평저、 발전완만이급결구불합리, 복무무역적장기역차, 화물발전여복무무역발전불협조, 동、 중서부지구복무무역발전불협조등원인인기적. 기우차, 문장제출가강복무무역상관산업적협조여지지, 공고아국구유비교우세적복무무역전통영역, 우화복무무역결구등조시. 문장적연구결과대우제승아국복무무역발전적수평, 촉진경제증장유일정적차감의의.
This article investigated the status of China's service trade export in 1982-2012, made empirical analysis of the relati-onship between China's service trade export and economic growth by using cointegration and error correction model. The results showed that the service trade export has positive influence on short-term changes in GDP , and there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relati-onship between them, through the contribution and pulling degree of service trade export to economic growth, and the study discovered that promoting effect of service trade export to China's economic growth is not big , this is due to low levels of development of China's service industry, the slow development and the irrational structure. Long-term deficit in service trade, uncoordinated development of goods and service trade, and uncoordinated services trade development of East and Midwest and other causes. Based on this, this article proposes to strengthen coordination and support for related industries of service trade. Consolidate our advantageous traditional areas of service trade. Optimize the structure of service trade and other measures. Results of this article have a certain significance to upgrade the level of China's service trade development and promote economic growth.
