CAJ | 학술논문

根据中国经济转型和城乡二元结构背景,设定协整向量和调节参数都为非线性的阈值协整模型,以此揭示中国城乡经济一体化对城乡收入差距的非线性效应.主要结论为:中国城乡经济一体化对城乡收入差距的长期效应随着经济发展阶段的变化(经济转型)而产生非线性转换,转换时机为人均GDP 7 100元,也就是说,改革初期城乡经济的持续分割推动了城乡收入差距的扩大,现阶段城乡经济一体化的推进显著阻滞了当前城乡收入差距的扩大,且这种阻滞效应具有长期性.长期阻滞效应促进了短期城乡经济趋向一体化并对城乡收入差距的扩大产生短期抑制效应.上述结论意味着,当前城乡经济一体化的推进是从根本上改善中国城乡收入差距扩大的主要措施之一.
근거중국경제전형화성향이원결구배경,설정협정향량화조절삼수도위비선성적역치협정모형,이차게시중국성향경제일체화대성향수입차거적비선성효응.주요결론위:중국성향경제일체화대성향수입차거적장기효응수착경제발전계단적변화(경제전형)이산생비선성전환,전환시궤위인균GDP 7 100원,야취시설,개혁초기성향경제적지속분할추동료성향수입차거적확대,현계단성향경제일체화적추진현저조체료당전성향수입차거적확대,차저충조체효응구유장기성.장기조체효응촉진료단기성향경제추향일체화병대성향수입차거적확대산생단기억제효응.상술결론의미착,당전성향경제일체화적추진시종근본상개선중국성향수입차거확대적주요조시지일.
Based on the background of dual structure and economic restructuring of urban-rural areas, this paper sets up the threshold cointegration model with cointegration vector and adjustment parameter which are nonlinear to reveal the nonlinear effects of urban-rural integration on urban-rural income disparity. Results show that there is a nonlinear cointegartion relationship between urban-rural income disparity and urban-rural integration de-pending on the economic stage, and the switch opportunity is at the 7 100 yuan per capita GDP. The nonlinear cointegration implies that the urban-rural segmentation promotes urban-rural income disparity at the beginning of Chinese reform, while blocking the urban-rural integration block urban-rural income disparity at present. Fur-thermore, the long-run nonlinear cointegartion relationship promotes the integration of short-run urban-rural economy and inhibits the expansion of short-term urban-rural income disparity. Those results show that urban-ru-ral integration is one of the most important measures of blocking the widening of income disparity of urban-rural areas in China.