CAJ | 학술논문

论文以南方集体林区主要造林树种杉木为例,通过160户农户的实地调查和风险偏好实验,运用修正的Faustmann-Hartman模型分析了不同风险态度农户的森林碳汇供给;同时,运用回归计量模型分析了影响农户家庭碳汇供给的社会经济因素. 在此基础上,得出相关结论:(1)不同风险类型农户在考虑碳收益情景下的最佳采伐决策相对于传统单一木材收益目标并没有发生变化,且单位面积碳汇供给也基本相同;(2)风险偏好类型农户群体相对于风险厌恶群体森林碳汇供给比其他风险态度农户更多;(3)政府对林农的碳汇营林补贴会有效促进碳汇供给,同时应引导规模大户和社会资本率先发展碳汇林业;(4)政府应在固碳效果较好的树种主产区设立碳汇林业实验区,在这些地区优先开展碳汇林业试点.
논문이남방집체림구주요조림수충삼목위례,통과160호농호적실지조사화풍험편호실험,운용수정적Faustmann-Hartman모형분석료불동풍험태도농호적삼림탄회공급;동시,운용회귀계량모형분석료영향농호가정탄회공급적사회경제인소. 재차기출상,득출상관결론:(1)불동풍험류형농호재고필탄수익정경하적최가채벌결책상대우전통단일목재수익목표병몰유발생변화,차단위면적탄회공급야기본상동;(2)풍험편호류형농호군체상대우풍험염악군체삼림탄회공급비기타풍험태도농호경다;(3)정부대임농적탄회영림보첩회유효촉진탄회공급,동시응인도규모대호화사회자본솔선발전탄회임업;(4)정부응재고탄효과교호적수충주산구설립탄회임업실험구,재저사지구우선개전탄회임업시점.
Based on the Chinese fir as case tree,this paper used revised Faustmann-Hartman model to analyze the carbon supply of households with different risk attitude through HH survey and risk preference experiment,also it analyzed the social and economic factors which affected the households' carbon supply. Finally,it gave the conclusions that:(1) harvest decision-making of households groups with different risk attitudes have not changed in the scenario of carbon benefit compared with traditional forest mangement;( 2 ) Compared with other groups, households in risk -preference group prefer ro provide more carbon sequestration due to contracted with larger scale forestland;(3)Government should design carbon forest management subsidy, and drive more social capitals and large-scale households to make carbon forest management initiatively;( 4 ) it ' s important to build carbon forest model zone in some area which have large number of tree species with high carbon fix effect.