运筹与管理
運籌與管理
운주여관리
Operations Research and Management Science
2015年
4期
264-271
,共8页
创新风险管理%FMEA%可靠指标矢量%概率网格法
創新風險管理%FMEA%可靠指標矢量%概率網格法
창신풍험관리%FMEA%가고지표시량%개솔망격법
innovation risk control%FMEA%reliable index vector%probability grid method
在资源有限的情况下,企业技术创新风险管理的关键是主要风险的识别和防范。首先,基于合理的猜想,从优化结果角度,提出了基于可靠指标矢量-概率网格估算法的改进的FMEA方法,即在传统FMEA方法基础上,基于失效模式相关性进行失效模式替代,得出技术创新过程中的主要失效模式。其次,将改进的FMEA方法应用于一个技术创新风险管理案例,并与传统方法进行比较分析,分析结果表明:改进的FMEA方法用于风险管理不仅能节省企业资源,还能提高企业技术创新风险管理效率,是企业有效的技术创新风险管理定量分析工具。
在資源有限的情況下,企業技術創新風險管理的關鍵是主要風險的識彆和防範。首先,基于閤理的猜想,從優化結果角度,提齣瞭基于可靠指標矢量-概率網格估算法的改進的FMEA方法,即在傳統FMEA方法基礎上,基于失效模式相關性進行失效模式替代,得齣技術創新過程中的主要失效模式。其次,將改進的FMEA方法應用于一箇技術創新風險管理案例,併與傳統方法進行比較分析,分析結果錶明:改進的FMEA方法用于風險管理不僅能節省企業資源,還能提高企業技術創新風險管理效率,是企業有效的技術創新風險管理定量分析工具。
재자원유한적정황하,기업기술창신풍험관리적관건시주요풍험적식별화방범。수선,기우합리적시상,종우화결과각도,제출료기우가고지표시량-개솔망격고산법적개진적FMEA방법,즉재전통FMEA방법기출상,기우실효모식상관성진행실효모식체대,득출기술창신과정중적주요실효모식。기차,장개진적FMEA방법응용우일개기술창신풍험관리안례,병여전통방법진행비교분석,분석결과표명:개진적FMEA방법용우풍험관리불부능절성기업자원,환능제고기업기술창신풍험관리효솔,시기업유효적기술창신풍험관리정량분석공구。
Because of limited resources, the identification and protection of main risk is the key to risk manage-ment of enterprise technology innovation.Firstly, based on reasonable guesses and from the results optimization, we put forward an improved FMEA method based on reliable index vector-probability grid estimation, that is, failure modes are substituted in terms of their correlations, and then find out the main failure modes.Moreover, the improved FMEA method is applied to a risk management case of technology innovation, and the obtained results are compared with the traditional FMEA method.We conclude that our improved FMEA method used for risk management can not only save resources of enterprise, but also improve the efficiency of risk management.It is an effectively quantitative tool for risk management of enterprise technology innovation.