CAJ | 학술논문

本文基于财政支农和城镇化的新常态视角，利用协整分析、VECM模型、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解等技术比较分析了城镇化、财政支农与农民消费的关系，分析结果表明城镇化、财政支农与农民消费具有长期均衡的关系，两者能够促进农民消费，从长期看城镇化对农民消费的推动作用要大于财政支农。
본문기우재정지농화성진화적신상태시각，이용협정분석、VECM모형、맥충향응함수이급방차분해등기술비교분석료성진화、재정지농여농민소비적관계，분석결과표명성진화、재정지농여농민소비구유장기균형적관계，량자능구촉진농민소비，종장기간성진화대농민소비적추동작용요대우재정지농。
Based on the new normality of urbanization and agricultural fiscal expenditure in China ,the relationship of urbanization ,agricultural fiscal expenditrue and farmers'consumption is analyzed through cointegration analysis , VECM model , impulse response and variance decomposition .The findings indicate that these three aspects have long-term balanced relationship .Urbanization and agricultural fiscal expenditrue can promote the farmers 'consumption.In the long term,urbanization plays a more important role than agricultural fiscal expenditrue in promoting farmers 'consumption.