中国土地科学
中國土地科學
중국토지과학
China Land Science
2015年
8期
33-40
,共8页
土地管理%政策预期%耕地保护经济补偿政策%农户满意度%成都耕保基金
土地管理%政策預期%耕地保護經濟補償政策%農戶滿意度%成都耕保基金
토지관리%정책예기%경지보호경제보상정책%농호만의도%성도경보기금
land administration%policy expectation%economic compensation for farmland protection policy%farmers’ satisfaction%cultivated land protection fund in Chengdu
研究目的：实证分析农户对耕地保护经济补偿政策能否持续实施下去的预期对补偿政策农户满意度的影响以及影响程度。研究方法：在对政策预期与补偿政策农户满意度绩效理论分析的基础上，提出本文的研究假说，并运用有序Probit模型加以检验。研究结果：（1）稳定的政策预期对耕地保护经济补偿政策农户满意度绩效的影响正向显著；从中长期来看，农户对补偿政策未来5—10年能够持续实施的信心增加一个标准差（0.811），农民则对补偿政策“非常不满意”、“不满意”和“一般”的概率分别下降0.487%、3.812%和6.569%，对补偿政策“满意”和“非常满意”的概率分别上升9.570%和1.379%。（2）除了政策预期对农户满意度有影响外，对补贴标准和补贴形式满意程度较高的农户，其补偿政策的总体农户满意度绩效也较高。研究结论：农户稳定的政策预期对补偿政策的农户满意度有重要影响，为提高耕地保护补偿政策的农户满意度绩效，实施补偿政策的地区要保持补偿政策的持续性和连贯性，加快补偿政策的制度化进程，形成能够激发农户持续供给耕地保护行为的长效机制。同时，补贴标准和补偿形式的选择对耕地保护补偿政策农户满意度绩效的影响也不容忽视。
研究目的：實證分析農戶對耕地保護經濟補償政策能否持續實施下去的預期對補償政策農戶滿意度的影響以及影響程度。研究方法：在對政策預期與補償政策農戶滿意度績效理論分析的基礎上，提齣本文的研究假說，併運用有序Probit模型加以檢驗。研究結果：（1）穩定的政策預期對耕地保護經濟補償政策農戶滿意度績效的影響正嚮顯著；從中長期來看，農戶對補償政策未來5—10年能夠持續實施的信心增加一箇標準差（0.811），農民則對補償政策“非常不滿意”、“不滿意”和“一般”的概率分彆下降0.487%、3.812%和6.569%，對補償政策“滿意”和“非常滿意”的概率分彆上升9.570%和1.379%。（2）除瞭政策預期對農戶滿意度有影響外，對補貼標準和補貼形式滿意程度較高的農戶，其補償政策的總體農戶滿意度績效也較高。研究結論：農戶穩定的政策預期對補償政策的農戶滿意度有重要影響，為提高耕地保護補償政策的農戶滿意度績效，實施補償政策的地區要保持補償政策的持續性和連貫性，加快補償政策的製度化進程，形成能夠激髮農戶持續供給耕地保護行為的長效機製。同時，補貼標準和補償形式的選擇對耕地保護補償政策農戶滿意度績效的影響也不容忽視。
연구목적：실증분석농호대경지보호경제보상정책능부지속실시하거적예기대보상정책농호만의도적영향이급영향정도。연구방법：재대정책예기여보상정책농호만의도적효이론분석적기출상，제출본문적연구가설，병운용유서Probit모형가이검험。연구결과：（1）은정적정책예기대경지보호경제보상정책농호만의도적효적영향정향현저；종중장기래간，농호대보상정책미래5—10년능구지속실시적신심증가일개표준차（0.811），농민칙대보상정책“비상불만의”、“불만의”화“일반”적개솔분별하강0.487%、3.812%화6.569%，대보상정책“만의”화“비상만의”적개솔분별상승9.570%화1.379%。（2）제료정책예기대농호만의도유영향외，대보첩표준화보첩형식만의정도교고적농호，기보상정책적총체농호만의도적효야교고。연구결론：농호은정적정책예기대보상정책적농호만의도유중요영향，위제고경지보호보상정책적농호만의도적효，실시보상정책적지구요보지보상정책적지속성화련관성，가쾌보상정책적제도화진정，형성능구격발농호지속공급경지보호행위적장효궤제。동시，보첩표준화보상형식적선택대경지보호보상정책농호만의도적효적영향야불용홀시。
The aim of this paper is to test how the policy expectation impacts the farmers’satisfaction regarding the economic compensation for farmland protection policy(ECFP). Methods employed are that on the basis of theoretical analysis, we put forward a hypothesis and use the ordered probit model to test it. The results indicate that 1)Farmers’ stability of policy expectation is positive to farmers’satisfaction about the ECFP policy significantly. From the long term, the farmers’confidence will continue to increase one standard deviation(0.811)if the ECFP policy implements over the next 5 to 10 years. The probability of“very dissatisfied”,“not satisfied”and“general”that the farmers evaluate about the compensation policy fell by 0.487%, 3.812% and 6.569%, respectively. And the probability of“satisfaction”and“very satisfied”that the farmers evaluate about the compensation policy increased by 9.570% and 1.379%, respectively. 2)Those who have higher satisfaction to the standard and form of the subsidy will have higher satisfaction with overall performance of the compensation policy. It is concluded that farmers’stability of policy expectation is important to the farmers’satisfaction about the ECFP policy. To improve the farmers’satisfaction performance about the ECFP policy, the areas of implementation of the compensation policy should keep the compensation policy continuity and consistency, speed up the systematization of the compensation policy, and form the long-term mechanism of motivating farmers to continue the cultivated land protection behavior. At the same time, we can’t ignore the importance of the standard and the form of the subsidy.
