工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
Industrial Technology & Economy
2015年
9期
154-160
,共7页
财政收支%经济增长%关系
財政收支%經濟增長%關繫
재정수지%경제증장%관계
financial revenue and expenditure%economic growth%the relationship
财政收支与经济增长的关系一直存在争议。本文通过误差修正模型、格兰杰检验和脉冲响应函数进行实证分析，分析发现：财政收支与经济增长在长期均衡方面相关性不显著，但是在短期均衡上存在相互关系。财政收入能够促进经济的增长，经济的增长能够促进财政支出的增长，但是这种积极作用是逐渐形成，并不能迅速发生效果。为了保证财政收支效果，促进经济发展，本文提出了相关政策建议。
財政收支與經濟增長的關繫一直存在爭議。本文通過誤差脩正模型、格蘭傑檢驗和脈遲響應函數進行實證分析，分析髮現：財政收支與經濟增長在長期均衡方麵相關性不顯著，但是在短期均衡上存在相互關繫。財政收入能夠促進經濟的增長，經濟的增長能夠促進財政支齣的增長，但是這種積極作用是逐漸形成，併不能迅速髮生效果。為瞭保證財政收支效果，促進經濟髮展，本文提齣瞭相關政策建議。
재정수지여경제증장적관계일직존재쟁의。본문통과오차수정모형、격란걸검험화맥충향응함수진행실증분석，분석발현：재정수지여경제증장재장기균형방면상관성불현저，단시재단기균형상존재상호관계。재정수입능구촉진경제적증장，경제적증장능구촉진재정지출적증장，단시저충적겁작용시축점형성，병불능신속발생효과。위료보증재정수지효과，촉진경제발전，본문제출료상관정책건의。
The relationship between fiscal revenue and expenditure and economic growth has been controversial . In this article , the author carried on the empirical analysis based on the error correction model , granger test and impulse response function , and the research found that:the financial revenue and expenditure and economic growth is not significant in terms of long-term equilibrium correlation , but in the short term equilibrium relationship exists . Fiscal revenue can promote economic growth , economic growth can promote the growth of fiscal expenditure , but the positive effect is gradually formed , does not happen quickly . In order to guarantee the effect of fiscal revenue and expenditure , promote economic development , this paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions .
