工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
Industrial Technology & Economy
2015年
9期
57-63
,共7页
烟粉尘排放%环境库兹涅茨曲线%溢出效应%EBA模型%“稳健性”检验
煙粉塵排放%環境庫玆涅茨麯線%溢齣效應%EBA模型%“穩健性”檢驗
연분진배방%배경고자열자곡선%일출효응%EBA모형%“은건성”검험
smoke and dust emissions%Environmental Kuznets Curve%spillover effect%EBA model%“robust” test
根据环境经济学理论，本文采用2004～2013年中国30个省际面板数据，构建空间动态面板数据的EBA模型，实证检验烟粉尘排放与经济增长之间的环境库兹涅茨曲线关系。进而从经济增长及政府规制两个维度探寻烟粉尘排放的“稳健性”影响因素。研究发现，我国各省烟粉尘排放具有空间溢出效应；烟粉尘排放与经济增长之间不满足EKC曲线倒“U”型关系；重工业发展、能源消费结构、能源效率、地方财政支出与烟粉尘排放呈正向“稳健性”关系；产业结构升级、人口规模对烟粉尘排放呈负向“稳健性”关系。据此提出相应对策建议。
根據環境經濟學理論，本文採用2004～2013年中國30箇省際麵闆數據，構建空間動態麵闆數據的EBA模型，實證檢驗煙粉塵排放與經濟增長之間的環境庫玆涅茨麯線關繫。進而從經濟增長及政府規製兩箇維度探尋煙粉塵排放的“穩健性”影響因素。研究髮現，我國各省煙粉塵排放具有空間溢齣效應；煙粉塵排放與經濟增長之間不滿足EKC麯線倒“U”型關繫；重工業髮展、能源消費結構、能源效率、地方財政支齣與煙粉塵排放呈正嚮“穩健性”關繫；產業結構升級、人口規模對煙粉塵排放呈負嚮“穩健性”關繫。據此提齣相應對策建議。
근거배경경제학이론，본문채용2004～2013년중국30개성제면판수거，구건공간동태면판수거적EBA모형，실증검험연분진배방여경제증장지간적배경고자열자곡선관계。진이종경제증장급정부규제량개유도탐심연분진배방적“은건성”영향인소。연구발현，아국각성연분진배방구유공간일출효응；연분진배방여경제증장지간불만족EKC곡선도“U”형관계；중공업발전、능원소비결구、능원효솔、지방재정지출여연분진배방정정향“은건성”관계；산업결구승급、인구규모대연분진배방정부향“은건성”관계。거차제출상응대책건의。
According to the theory of environmental economics , this article adopts 30 provincial panel data in China from 2003 to 2012 . We also builds EBA model of spatial factors with GIS Technology to conduct empirical study to verify whether the smoke and dust e-missions and economic growth in China adapt to Environmental Kuznets Curve . Based on this , the article studies the effect factors of the smoke and dust emissions “robust” on three dimensions , from economic development , population scale and government regulation . Re-search shows that there is no inverted “U” in EKC curve between the relationship of smoke and dust emissions in China . However , the smoke and dust emissions in Chinese provinces have prominent spatial spillover effects . The development of heavy industry , energy con-sumption structure , energy efficiency and local fiscal expenditure have a positive interference “robust” effect on the smoke and dust emis-sions , while the upgrading of industrial structure and population scale have a negative interference . According to the empirical study , rela-tive political solutions have been addressed in this article .
