CAJ | 학술논문

2015年1-6月，中国饲料市场总体相对疲软，育肥猪、肉鸡和蛋鸡配合饲料的价格均持续下跌。饲料主要原料演绎出不同的市场走向，豆粕价格继续下跌，玉米价格止跌反弹，鱼粉价格高位下行。展望饲料市场后期走势，预计豆粕、鱼粉价格将继续延续下跌趋势，玉米受临储政策支撑，价格将维持稳定，高粱和大麦等替代品在饲料中的应用将增加；在饲料成本下降、养殖利润有所回升的情况下，国内养殖业产能逐步调整到位，饲料产品市场价格预计将止跌趋稳。
2015년1-6월，중국사료시장총체상대피연，육비저、육계화단계배합사료적개격균지속하질。사료주요원료연역출불동적시장주향，두박개격계속하질，옥미개격지질반탄，어분개격고위하행。전망사료시장후기주세，예계두박、어분개격장계속연속하질추세，옥미수림저정책지탱，개격장유지은정，고량화대맥등체대품재사료중적응용장증가；재사료성본하강、양식리윤유소회승적정황하，국내양식업산능축보조정도위，사료산품시장개격예계장지질추은。
China's feed market showed a weak trend in the first half of 2015, and the prices of main formula feed for fattening pig, broiler chicken and layer went down continuously. The raw materials of main feed showed different trends, to be specific, soybean meal price continued droping, maize price rebounded and fish meal price went down from a high level. Looking forward to the future, the prices of soybean meal and fish meal will keep the decreasing trend, and maize price will maintain at a certain level because of the support of temporary storage policy. Sorghum and barley taking place of maize as raw material will become more common. As the feed cost decreasing and breeding profit rising, the capacity of domestic breeding industry will adjust to a proper level, and the prices of feed products will stop dropping to keep stable.