农业展望
農業展望
농업전망
Agricultural Outlook
2015年
8期
21-26
,共6页
沈辰%刘景景%张静宜%李辉尚
瀋辰%劉景景%張靜宜%李輝尚
침신%류경경%장정의%리휘상
水产品%市场价格%进出口%贸易%结构%厄尔尼诺%展望
水產品%市場價格%進齣口%貿易%結構%阨爾尼諾%展望
수산품%시장개격%진출구%무역%결구%액이니낙%전망
aquatic products%market price%import and export%trade%structure%El Nino%prospect
2015年上半年中国水产品价格整体持续微幅上涨,同比略高于上年。淡水鱼、海水鱼市场交易量同比小幅减少,价格同比持平;虾蟹类量增价跌,贝类量减价涨。由于国际市场供应偏紧,进口价格高涨,进口量下滑严重,而出口量增额减,贸易规模缩减,顺差有所扩大。预计2015年价格水平与上年基本持平,但受气候因素影响存在上涨可能,再加上外需不振及人民币升值压力等因素影响,全年贸易形势不容乐观。
2015年上半年中國水產品價格整體持續微幅上漲,同比略高于上年。淡水魚、海水魚市場交易量同比小幅減少,價格同比持平;蝦蟹類量增價跌,貝類量減價漲。由于國際市場供應偏緊,進口價格高漲,進口量下滑嚴重,而齣口量增額減,貿易規模縮減,順差有所擴大。預計2015年價格水平與上年基本持平,但受氣候因素影響存在上漲可能,再加上外需不振及人民幣升值壓力等因素影響,全年貿易形勢不容樂觀。
2015년상반년중국수산품개격정체지속미폭상창,동비략고우상년。담수어、해수어시장교역량동비소폭감소,개격동비지평;하해류량증개질,패류량감개창。유우국제시장공응편긴,진구개격고창,진구량하활엄중,이출구량증액감,무역규모축감,순차유소확대。예계2015년개격수평여상년기본지평,단수기후인소영향존재상창가능,재가상외수불진급인민폐승치압력등인소영향,전년무역형세불용악관。
In the first half of 2015, the prices of aquatic products continued rising slightly and roughly higher than the same period of last year. Although the trade volumes of freshwater fish and marine fish reduced slightly, the prices were also flat year-on-year. The trade volume of shrimp and crab increased while its price fell. As for shellfish, the volume decreased and the price rose. Due to the tight international market supply, the import price moved up and import volume declined, and the export volume increased while the value reduced, which made the trade scale decrease and trade surplus expand. The price level in 2015 is expected to be flat with last year, but the price may rise under the impact of climate factor. Affected by the sluggish external demand, the pressure of RMB appreciation and other factors, the annual trade situation would not be optimistic.