农业展望
農業展望
농업전망
Agricultural Outlook
2015年
8期
9-11,43
,共4页
殷瑞锋%徐雪高%李登旺%赵将
慇瑞鋒%徐雪高%李登旺%趙將
은서봉%서설고%리등왕%조장
大豆%播种面积%产量%国内外%价格%进口%展望
大豆%播種麵積%產量%國內外%價格%進口%展望
대두%파충면적%산량%국내외%개격%진구%전망
soybean%sown acreage%production%domestic and international%price%import%prospect
2015年，中国大豆播种面积和产量预计继续下降，其中播种面积下降15%左右。上半年，国内外大豆价格持续下跌，价差也一直保持在历史高位，进口量同比小幅增长。从后期来看，国际大豆价格仍将在低位震荡，价格波动主要受天气因素的影响，近期国内价格也将处于低位，在新豆上市之前可能会略涨。
2015年，中國大豆播種麵積和產量預計繼續下降，其中播種麵積下降15%左右。上半年，國內外大豆價格持續下跌，價差也一直保持在歷史高位，進口量同比小幅增長。從後期來看，國際大豆價格仍將在低位震盪，價格波動主要受天氣因素的影響，近期國內價格也將處于低位，在新豆上市之前可能會略漲。
2015년，중국대두파충면적화산량예계계속하강，기중파충면적하강15%좌우。상반년，국내외대두개격지속하질，개차야일직보지재역사고위，진구량동비소폭증장。종후기래간，국제대두개격잉장재저위진탕，개격파동주요수천기인소적영향，근기국내개격야장처우저위，재신두상시지전가능회략창。
It is expected that domestic soybean sown acreage and production continue declining in 2015. The domestic soybean sown acreage is expected to decline about 15%. In the first half of 2015, domestic and international soybean prices continue falling, with the price spread remaining at historically high levels. There is a slightly increase in soybean imports. Looking to the future, the international soybean price will remain at low volatility, and the price fluctuations are mainly affected by weather factors. The recent domestic price will also be low, and may be slightly higher before the new soybean coming into the market.
