统计与信息论坛
統計與信息論罈
통계여신식론단
Statistics & Information Forum
2015年
9期
81-88
,共8页
旅游竞争力%时空演化%耦合协调模型%动态偏离—份额分析法%张家界
旅遊競爭力%時空縯化%耦閤協調模型%動態偏離—份額分析法%張傢界
여유경쟁력%시공연화%우합협조모형%동태편리—빈액분석법%장가계
tourism competitiveness%spatial and temporal evolution%coupling-coordination model%DSSA%Zhangjiajie
选取旅游资源产品、旅游保障和市场服务3大系统及9大要素构建张家界旅游竞争力指标体系,运用熵值法横向测度各系统层权重和评价值,结合耦合协调模型和动态偏离—份额分析法( DSSA)纵向分析2002—2011年旅游竞争结构的协调性和合理性. 结果发现:总体上,张家界各县区旅游综合竞争力时空格局差异显著,逐步形成以武陵源和永定为旅游核心区的双翼联动发展格局,竞争系统已达初级协调,协调度呈上升趋势,各县区的协调性差异显著;武陵源旅游竞争力较强,但近年来旅游竞争结构存在不合理性,协调性由0. 745下降至0. 737,竞争力有下滑趋势;永定区旅游竞争力稳步上升,其结构协调性、合理性逐步得到改善,竞争结构逐步优化,竞争增长速度表现强劲;慈利县和桑植县始终是旅游边缘区,旅游竞争力虽稳步上升,但各要素发展程度仍较低,竞争结构有待深入优化和调整.
選取旅遊資源產品、旅遊保障和市場服務3大繫統及9大要素構建張傢界旅遊競爭力指標體繫,運用熵值法橫嚮測度各繫統層權重和評價值,結閤耦閤協調模型和動態偏離—份額分析法( DSSA)縱嚮分析2002—2011年旅遊競爭結構的協調性和閤理性. 結果髮現:總體上,張傢界各縣區旅遊綜閤競爭力時空格跼差異顯著,逐步形成以武陵源和永定為旅遊覈心區的雙翼聯動髮展格跼,競爭繫統已達初級協調,協調度呈上升趨勢,各縣區的協調性差異顯著;武陵源旅遊競爭力較彊,但近年來旅遊競爭結構存在不閤理性,協調性由0. 745下降至0. 737,競爭力有下滑趨勢;永定區旅遊競爭力穩步上升,其結構協調性、閤理性逐步得到改善,競爭結構逐步優化,競爭增長速度錶現彊勁;慈利縣和桑植縣始終是旅遊邊緣區,旅遊競爭力雖穩步上升,但各要素髮展程度仍較低,競爭結構有待深入優化和調整.
선취여유자원산품、여유보장화시장복무3대계통급9대요소구건장가계여유경쟁력지표체계,운용적치법횡향측도각계통층권중화평개치,결합우합협조모형화동태편리—빈액분석법( DSSA)종향분석2002—2011년여유경쟁결구적협조성화합이성. 결과발현:총체상,장가계각현구여유종합경쟁력시공격국차이현저,축보형성이무릉원화영정위여유핵심구적쌍익련동발전격국,경쟁계통이체초급협조,협조도정상승추세,각현구적협조성차이현저;무릉원여유경쟁력교강,단근년래여유경쟁결구존재불합이성,협조성유0. 745하강지0. 737,경쟁력유하활추세;영정구여유경쟁력은보상승,기결구협조성、합이성축보득도개선,경쟁결구축보우화,경쟁증장속도표현강경;자리현화상식현시종시여유변연구,여유경쟁력수은보상승,단각요소발전정도잉교저,경쟁결구유대심입우화화조정.
The article selects 3 large systems such as competitiveness of resources product, tourism security as well as market service and 9 large elements to construct the evaluation index system of Zhangjiajie tourism competitiveness,uses entropy method to laterally measure the weight and evaluation value of transverse system layer, combined with coupling-coordination model and DSSA to longitudinally analysis coordination and rationality of tourism competition structure from 2002 to 2011. The results show:On the whole, spatial and temporal pattern significantly of Zhangjiajie counties tourism competitiveness, and gradually formed in wings linkage development pattern around Wulingyuan and Yongding district is the core area of tourism, the coordination between the various systems has been in the primary stage and present upward trend, but the county coordination difference;Wulingyuan tourism competitiveness has been strong, but recently tourism competitiveness structure unreasonable and coordination decreased from 0 . 745 to 0 . 737 , the competition potential downward trend; Yongding tourism competitiveness steadily rising and its structure gradually is reasonable and coordination, competition gradually optimizing of the structure and competitive growth is strong;Cili county and Sangzhi county, tourism is always marginal, despite a steady increase in tourism competitiveness, but the various elements of the level of development is still low, competitive structure needs to be further optimized and adjusted.