科技和产业
科技和產業
과기화산업
Science Technology and Industry
2015年
9期
140-144
,共5页
经济极限产量%油价%成本%影响因素%回归模型
經濟極限產量%油價%成本%影響因素%迴歸模型
경제겁한산량%유개%성본%영향인소%회귀모형
economic limit production%oil prices%cost%influence factors%regression model
稠油油藏开发过程中产量达到峰值后会迅速进入递减期，产量下降加快。受国际油价下跌影响，油田的经济效益下降。通过对稠油油藏经济极限产量的影响因素分析，运用投入产出原理，建立了经济极限产量模型。利用 HS油田生产数据计算出油田经济极限产量，最后用统计学软件建立了极限产量与影响因素的回归模型，为油田管理者进行产量决策提供了科学依据。
稠油油藏開髮過程中產量達到峰值後會迅速進入遞減期，產量下降加快。受國際油價下跌影響，油田的經濟效益下降。通過對稠油油藏經濟極限產量的影響因素分析，運用投入產齣原理，建立瞭經濟極限產量模型。利用 HS油田生產數據計算齣油田經濟極限產量，最後用統計學軟件建立瞭極限產量與影響因素的迴歸模型，為油田管理者進行產量決策提供瞭科學依據。
주유유장개발과정중산량체도봉치후회신속진입체감기，산량하강가쾌。수국제유개하질영향，유전적경제효익하강。통과대주유유장경제겁한산량적영향인소분석，운용투입산출원리，건립료경제겁한산량모형。이용 HS유전생산수거계산출유전경제겁한산량，최후용통계학연건건립료겁한산량여영향인소적회귀모형，위유전관리자진행산량결책제공료과학의거。
During the process of heavy oil reservoir development ,the yield once reached the peak ,it will quickly enter the decline period and ac‐celerate the decline in output. Affected by the impact of international oil prices decline ,the economic benefit of oil field declined. Through analysi‐sing the influence factors of heavy oil reservoir economic limit yield ,using input‐output theory ,established the economic limit production model.Using HS oil production data ,this paper calculated the economic limit of oil output ,finally using statistical software to establish a regression mod‐el about the factors of affecting the yield and economic limit production. Ultimatly ,it provides scientific basis for oilfield output decision manage‐ment .
