CAJ | 학술논문

由于列车在运行过程中受突发事件的影响不能保证完全按列车运行图行车，本文提出列车运行图稳定性指标，引入元胞自动机（C A）模型对列车运行进行仿真，计算列车运行图稳定性指标，以京沪高速铁路为例进行列车运行仿真，通过列车实绩运行图，得到列车运行图稳定性与突发事件的发生概率及列车运行最大速度之间的关系，设计列车在某突发概率情况下为保证列车运行图的稳定性而采用的最大运行速度。提出了一种新的列车运行图稳定性的分析方法，得到的在不同条件下的列车最大允许速度，对列车运行图的编制及日常列车运行调度工作具有重要意义。
유우열차재운행과정중수돌발사건적영향불능보증완전안열차운행도행차，본문제출열차운행도은정성지표，인입원포자동궤（C A）모형대열차운행진행방진，계산열차운행도은정성지표，이경호고속철로위례진행열차운행방진，통과열차실적운행도，득도열차운행도은정성여돌발사건적발생개솔급열차운행최대속도지간적관계，설계열차재모돌발개솔정황하위보증열차운행도적은정성이채용적최대운행속도。제출료일충신적열차운행도은정성적분석방법，득도적재불동조건하적열차최대윤허속도，대열차운행도적편제급일상열차운행조도공작구유중요의의。
When the train operation process was affect by emergency, the train couldn’t be fully guaranteed to operate with train diagram. The paper put forward the stability index of train diagram, introduced Cellular Automaton(CA) model to simulation of the train operation process, calculated the stability index of train diagram, took the Beijing-Shanghai High-speed Railway Line as an example to simulate the train operation, according to the actually train diagram, got the relationship among the emergency probability and the train maximum speed and train diagram stability, designed the train maximum speed in order to ensure the train diagram stability in the case of emergency probability, proposed a new analytical method for the train diagram stability, got maximum permissible speed in different conditions. It was with important signiifcance for drawing up the train diagram and dispatching the train operation.