中国人口·资源与环境
中國人口·資源與環境
중국인구·자원여배경
China Population Resources and Environment
2015年
10期
71-78
,共8页
环境贫困陷阱%世代交叠型%政策干预%环境库茨涅兹曲线%综述性分析
環境貧睏陷阱%世代交疊型%政策榦預%環境庫茨涅玆麯線%綜述性分析
배경빈곤함정%세대교첩형%정책간예%배경고자열자곡선%종술성분석
environmental poverty trap%overlapping generations model%environmental kuznets curve%summary Analysis of policy intervention
与经济发展相关的环境问题常常与不平等、贫困等问题交织在一起。环境贫困绝非环境质量或者环境公共服务的不足,而是环境质量的恶化或者环境基本公共服务的不足会通过影响健康、教育等人力资本积累和其他要素资源配置而影响甚至拖累发展,加剧贫困和社会经济不平等,本文进一步拓展为“环境贫困陷阱”,结合中国生态环境和经济发展的实际将环境库兹涅茨曲线进行分解,并提出四类典型事实。将考虑财富异质性的OLG模型与预期寿命和环境相互决定的OLG模型有机结合,综述性分析和考察了环境质量与经济增长互为因果条件下,个体或经济体是如何陷入“环境贫困陷阱”之中以及如何影响环境库兹涅茨基曲线的轨迹,进而从理论上验证上述典型事实的经验判断。在政策干预上,通过环境政策来降低陷入贫困环境陷阱中经济体的排放并非易事,这是因为需要容忍短期内的低收入,在长期内也不确定是否会提高收入。一旦经济体陷入贫困环境陷阱,在环境政策上达成共识将非常困难,因为这样的政策会暂时性的恶化收入和福利。此外,当政策干预有效性不足时,长期贫困也会加剧。但是,充分有力的环境政策会产生非常不同含义,一旦,有力的环境政策在一段时期内持续并保持到经济增长与环境改善关系的拐点出现时,“环境贫困陷阱”会永久性的得到解决。
與經濟髮展相關的環境問題常常與不平等、貧睏等問題交織在一起。環境貧睏絕非環境質量或者環境公共服務的不足,而是環境質量的噁化或者環境基本公共服務的不足會通過影響健康、教育等人力資本積纍和其他要素資源配置而影響甚至拖纍髮展,加劇貧睏和社會經濟不平等,本文進一步拓展為“環境貧睏陷阱”,結閤中國生態環境和經濟髮展的實際將環境庫玆涅茨麯線進行分解,併提齣四類典型事實。將攷慮財富異質性的OLG模型與預期壽命和環境相互決定的OLG模型有機結閤,綜述性分析和攷察瞭環境質量與經濟增長互為因果條件下,箇體或經濟體是如何陷入“環境貧睏陷阱”之中以及如何影響環境庫玆涅茨基麯線的軌跡,進而從理論上驗證上述典型事實的經驗判斷。在政策榦預上,通過環境政策來降低陷入貧睏環境陷阱中經濟體的排放併非易事,這是因為需要容忍短期內的低收入,在長期內也不確定是否會提高收入。一旦經濟體陷入貧睏環境陷阱,在環境政策上達成共識將非常睏難,因為這樣的政策會暫時性的噁化收入和福利。此外,噹政策榦預有效性不足時,長期貧睏也會加劇。但是,充分有力的環境政策會產生非常不同含義,一旦,有力的環境政策在一段時期內持續併保持到經濟增長與環境改善關繫的枴點齣現時,“環境貧睏陷阱”會永久性的得到解決。
여경제발전상관적배경문제상상여불평등、빈곤등문제교직재일기。배경빈곤절비배경질량혹자배경공공복무적불족,이시배경질량적악화혹자배경기본공공복무적불족회통과영향건강、교육등인력자본적루화기타요소자원배치이영향심지타루발전,가극빈곤화사회경제불평등,본문진일보탁전위“배경빈곤함정”,결합중국생태배경화경제발전적실제장배경고자열자곡선진행분해,병제출사류전형사실。장고필재부이질성적OLG모형여예기수명화배경상호결정적OLG모형유궤결합,종술성분석화고찰료배경질량여경제증장호위인과조건하,개체혹경제체시여하함입“배경빈곤함정”지중이급여하영향배경고자열자기곡선적궤적,진이종이론상험증상술전형사실적경험판단。재정책간예상,통과배경정책래강저함입빈곤배경함정중경제체적배방병비역사,저시인위수요용인단기내적저수입,재장기내야불학정시부회제고수입。일단경제체함입빈곤배경함정,재배경정책상체성공식장비상곤난,인위저양적정책회잠시성적악화수입화복리。차외,당정책간예유효성불족시,장기빈곤야회가극。단시,충분유력적배경정책회산생비상불동함의,일단,유력적배경정책재일단시기내지속병보지도경제증장여배경개선관계적괴점출현시,“배경빈곤함정”회영구성적득도해결。
Environmental issues relate to economic development are often intertwined with the problems of inequality and poverty. Environmental poverty by no means less environmental quality or environmental public service, but the deterioration of environmental quality or lack of basic public services environment through human capital accumulation and other factors affect the health resources, education, influence and even drag configuration development, increased poverty and socio-economic inequalities, we further expanded to ‘Environment Poverty Trap ’ , with the actual Chinese ecological environment and economic development will decompose environmental Kuznets curve, and made four typical facts. The Ikefuji and Horri ( 2007 ) consider the wealth of heterogeneity OLG model with Mariani et al (2010) life expectancy and environmental determinants combine mutual OLG model to examine the quality of the environment and economic growth mutually causal conditions under individual or economic How the body is trapped in a ‘poverty trap environment’ and how it affects the environment among Kuznetsov Nowitzki curve trajectory, and then verify the above facts theoretically typical experience to judge. On the policy interventions to reduce emissions through environmental policies into poverty environmental traps economies will not be easy, because the need to tolerate low-income short-term, in the long term it is uncertain whether it will increase revenue. Once the economy falling into poverty trap environment, reach a consensus on environmental policy will be very difficult, because such a policy would be a temporary deterioration in income and welfare. Further, when the lack of effectiveness of policy interventions, even in chronic poverty will increase. However, sufficiently robust environmental policy will have very different meanings, once, a strong environmental policy in a period of time and keep the knee sustained economic growth and environmental improvement of relations appears, environmental poverty trap permanently resolved.