CAJ | 학술논문

基于2004—2012年新疆能源消费碳排放数据对新疆能源碳排放的空间格局演变进行研究，结果表明新疆各地州能源碳排放具有显著的空间自相关性。“H-H”类型主要分布于天山北坡一带；“L-L”类型的主要分布在克州、和田地区、阿克苏地区。热点和次热点区主要集中分布在北疆地区，随着时间的推移，热点区有不断增加的态势。东-西方向的能源消费碳排放空间差异最大，南-北空间差异相对较小。为此，政府在“新常态”背景下走低碳发展道路需要注重空间关联作用，并根据碳排放的空间差异制定科学合理的管理政策。
기우2004—2012년신강능원소비탄배방수거대신강능원탄배방적공간격국연변진행연구，결과표명신강각지주능원탄배방구유현저적공간자상관성。“H-H”류형주요분포우천산북파일대；“L-L”류형적주요분포재극주、화전지구、아극소지구。열점화차열점구주요집중분포재북강지구，수착시간적추이，열점구유불단증가적태세。동-서방향적능원소비탄배방공간차이최대，남-북공간차이상대교소。위차，정부재“신상태”배경하주저탄발전도로수요주중공간관련작용，병근거탄배방적공간차이제정과학합리적관리정책。
The paper uses spatial variation function and the method of ESDA to study the evolution of carbon emissions from energy consumption in Xinjiang,with ArcGIS9.3,GeoDA9.5 and GS+ spatial statistical software to deal with data of carbon emissions from energy consumption from 2004 to 2012.The results show that energy carbon emissions have significant spatial autocorrelation among Xinjiang’s cities,prefectures.About the partial spatial autocorrelation,“H-H” type is mainly distributed in the northern slope of Tianshan Mount,and “L-L” type is mainly distributed in the Oblast,Hetian and Akesu areas.Hot and secondary hot areas are mainly concentrated in the northern regions.With the passage of time,the hot areas have a growing trend.The largest differences of carbon emissions from energy consumption are the direction of West to East,but the North to South is relatively small.These characteristics of Carbon emissions from energy consumption spatial pattern evolution imply that the government should focus on space correlation,and formulate scientific and rational management policy based on the difference of carbon emission space,in the “new normal” background of low carbon development road.