CAJ | 학술논문

利用上海市第六次人口普查资料，从人口年龄结构变化、教育程度、城乡差别等方面，探讨上海市为代表的中国发达城市的劳动力供给状况，劳动年龄人口退出劳动力市场和失业的原因。结果得出，由于大量务工人员的流入，常住人口年龄有所优化，但户籍人口老龄化程度严重；教育对于劳动参与率尤其是女性的劳动参与率提高作用很大；城乡之间劳动力供给具有明显差异，未来城市的劳动力市场形势将更为严峻；老龄人口教育程度和劳动能力低，往往被劳动力市场“遗弃”。
이용상해시제륙차인구보사자료，종인구년령결구변화、교육정도、성향차별등방면，탐토상해시위대표적중국발체성시적노동력공급상황，노동년령인구퇴출노동력시장화실업적원인。결과득출，유우대량무공인원적류입，상주인구년령유소우화，단호적인구노령화정도엄중；교육대우노동삼여솔우기시녀성적노동삼여솔제고작용흔대；성향지간노동력공급구유명현차이，미래성시적노동력시장형세장경위엄준；노령인구교육정도화노동능력저，왕왕피노동력시장“유기”。
With the sixth Shanghai population census data, from changes in the age structure, education, urban-rural difference and so on, the paper explores Shanghai labor supply situation and the reasons for working-age population withdraw from the labor market and unemployment. The results show that the degree of ageing of the registered population is serious, and age of permanent population is optimized because of migrant workers, and ed?ucation significantly improves labor force participation especially for women, and labor supply has obvious differ?ences between urban and rural areas, city’s future labor market situation will get more serious, and ageing popula?tion of low degree of education, labor ability tends to be abandoned by the labor market.