CAJ | 학술논문

研究了新能源汽车在物流行业应用的环境收益。首先考虑物流量与碳排放量的关系，构建了新能源汽车城市物流碳排放模型，然后基于改进的 Gompertz 模型预测了2020年我国三个核心城市：北京、上海和天津的货物周转量，在此基础上，分析了新能源汽车的碳减排能力，并测算了新能源汽车推广应用后的碳减排总量。结果表明，新能源汽车在物流行业应用具有一定的碳减排效果，并且随着新能源汽车技术的不断发展，碳减排效果将愈加显著。政府应构建适合新能源汽车的城市物流体系、加大新能源汽车在城市物流行业应用的支持力度、并遵循市场需求发展新能源汽车技术，以促进新能源汽车城市物流的发展。
연구료신능원기차재물류행업응용적배경수익。수선고필물류량여탄배방량적관계，구건료신능원기차성시물류탄배방모형，연후기우개진적 Gompertz 모형예측료2020년아국삼개핵심성시：북경、상해화천진적화물주전량，재차기출상，분석료신능원기차적탄감배능력，병측산료신능원기차추엄응용후적탄감배총량。결과표명，신능원기차재물류행업응용구유일정적탄감배효과，병차수착신능원기차기술적불단발전，탄감배효과장유가현저。정부응구건괄합신능원기차적성시물류체계、가대신능원기차재성시물류행업응용적지지력도、병준순시장수구발전신능원기차기술，이촉진신능원기차성시물류적발전。
The environmental benefit of New Energy Vehicle’s(NEV’s)application in the logistics in-dustry was studied.Firstly,this study established the carbon emission model of the urban logistics indus-try and predicted the cargo turnover of the three major cities of Beijing,Shanghai and Tianjin with the modified Gompertz model.Based on this,this paper analyzed the NEV’s ability of carbon emission reduc-tion,calculated the quantity of carbon emission reduction after the application of NEV.Then,we conclude that the NEV has the ability of carbon emission reduction.And more carbon emission will be reduced with the development of the NEV’s technique.Considering external economy of the logistics industry,the gov-ernment should construct an urban logistics system suitable for the NEV,intensify the support of the NEV in the urban logistics industry and follow the market demand of developing the NEV technology in order to promote the development of urban logistics of the NEV.