CAJ | 학술논문

文章采用空间计量经济学的分析方法, 选取中国中部地区80个城市2003-2012年的数据, 构建空间面板计量模型, 旨在为我国中部地区第三产业的良性发展提供理论支持. 研究结果表明中部地区第三产业发展存在空间正相关, 一个城市的第三产业发展能够对相邻地区的第三产业发展水平产生正面的影响, 产业集聚已经形成. 金融机构贷款和地方财政支出都能够促进第三产业发展, 且影响较为显著. 劳动投入虽然对第三产业发展产生正面影响, 但影响并不显著, 这表明中部地区第三产业正在从劳动密集型产业向资本密集型和技术密集型产业转型. 因此, 必须加大金融体系和财政体制对第三产业的支持力度, 营造良好的创新环境, 以推动我国中部地区服务业的健康快速发展.
문장채용공간계량경제학적분석방법, 선취중국중부지구80개성시2003-2012년적수거, 구건공간면판계량모형, 지재위아국중부지구제삼산업적량성발전제공이론지지. 연구결과표명중부지구제삼산업발전존재공간정상관, 일개성시적제삼산업발전능구대상린지구적제삼산업발전수평산생정면적영향, 산업집취이경형성. 금융궤구대관화지방재정지출도능구촉진제삼산업발전, 차영향교위현저. 노동투입수연대제삼산업발전산생정면영향, 단영향병불현저, 저표명중부지구제삼산업정재종노동밀집형산업향자본밀집형화기술밀집형산업전형. 인차, 필수가대금융체계화재정체제대제삼산업적지지력도, 영조량호적창신배경, 이추동아국중부지구복무업적건강쾌속발전.
This article employs the spatial econometrics method, using 2003-2012 data of 80 cities in the central China and using spatial panel econometric model to empirically analyze the development of tertiary industry , in order to provide theoretical support for the benign development of tertiary industry in central China. The conclusions are following: There exits significant positive spatial correlation in the development of tertiary industry in central region , the tertiary industry development of a city has a positive impact on the tertiary industry development of the adjacent areas, industrial agglomeration has been formed. Loans by financial institutions and local fiscal expenditure can promote the development of tertiary industry , and impacts are significant. Although labor input can have a positive impact on the development of tertiary industry, but impact is not significant, this means that the tertiary industry of the central region transform from labor-intensive industries to capital-intensive and technology-intensive industry. Therefore , we must strengthen the financial support for the tertiary industry, create a good environment for innovation, to promote the healthy and rapid development of tertiary industry in central China.