CAJ | 학술논문

2015年5月，戈尔巴乔夫基金会举办了纪念戈尔巴乔夫改革开始30周年的圆桌会议。会上提出了由戈尔巴乔夫基金会和前财政部长库德林领导的公民倡议委员会所邀请的专家小组起草的报告，题为《1985—2015：当代俄罗斯背景下改革的价值》（简称戈尔巴乔夫—库德林报告）。报告论述了戈尔巴乔夫改革的缘起与结果，总结了改革的经验和教训，分析了改革对于当代俄罗斯的价值和意义。报告发表后立即在俄罗斯掀起了有关如何看待当年戈尔巴乔夫改革和俄罗斯是否需要第二次改革的激烈争论。报告的出台表明，虽然俄罗斯的民主化进程处于停滞状态，但是俄罗斯民主派并没有放弃自己的努力。库德林成为报告主导者之一证明，戈尔巴乔夫改革确实影响了整整一代人，特别是哺育了一大批具有民主理念的新一代政治家。在普京执政集团强大和反对派力量弱势的政治格局下，在乌克兰危机造成俄罗斯与美国等西方国家和周边国家关系紧张的特殊形势下，由于缺乏社会基础和民意支持，实施所谓的改革2.0版的前景是非常暗淡的。
2015년5월，과이파교부기금회거판료기념과이파교부개혁개시30주년적원탁회의。회상제출료유과이파교부기금회화전재정부장고덕림령도적공민창의위원회소요청적전가소조기초적보고，제위《1985—2015：당대아라사배경하개혁적개치》（간칭과이파교부—고덕림보고）。보고논술료과이파교부개혁적연기여결과，총결료개혁적경험화교훈，분석료개혁대우당대아라사적개치화의의。보고발표후립즉재아라사흔기료유관여하간대당년과이파교부개혁화아라사시부수요제이차개혁적격렬쟁론。보고적출태표명，수연아라사적민주화진정처우정체상태，단시아라사민주파병몰유방기자기적노력。고덕림성위보고주도자지일증명，과이파교부개혁학실영향료정정일대인，특별시포육료일대비구유민주이념적신일대정치가。재보경집정집단강대화반대파역량약세적정치격국하，재오극란위궤조성아라사여미국등서방국가화주변국가관계긴장적특수형세하，유우결핍사회기출화민의지지，실시소위적개혁2.0판적전경시비상암담적。
In May 2015, Gorbachev Foundation held the roundtable conference to commemorate the 30th anniversary of the beginning of Gorbachev's perestroika. In this conference, the report drafted by an expert group invited by Gorbachev Foundation and Citizen Initiative Committee led by the former Finance Minister Kudrin in the name of“1985—2015:Values of perestroika in the context of contemporary Russia”(“Gorbachev–Kudrin Report”in brief) was presented. The report expounded the origin and results of Gorbachev's perestroika, summarized the experience and lessons of the perestroika, and analyzed the value and significance of the perestroika for current Russia. The report immediately aroused a heated debate about how to think of the Gorbachev's perestroika and if Russia needed the second perestroika. The issuance of this report showed that, although the process of democratization in Russia stayed in the dead state, the democrats of Russia did not give up their efforts. As Kudrin acted as one of the report initiators, it was proved that Gorbachev's perestroika did influence a whole generation and it especially fed a large amount of new politicians with democratic idea. Under the political pattern of strong ruling group of Putin and weak opposition, and in the special situation of tight relationship between Russia, America and Russia's surrounding countries, the prospect of the so-called perestroika 2.0 is very gloomy as the social foundation and support of popular will are lacked.