CAJ | 학술논문

文章对技术轨道理论研究和技术创新演化研究进行了梳理, 在前人研究的基础上, 将技术轨道理论与混沌经济学的逻辑斯蒂(Logistic)方程结合起来, 引入初始状态、随机涨落和非线性反馈, 构建了技术轨道理论视角的技术创新混沌模型,用数学语言描述技术创新的发展变化. 文章先分析了只存在一条技术轨道并忽略涨落因素的简化模型, 然后在此基础上分析逐步加入轨道因素和涨落因素的更接近现实情况的复杂模型. 模型先是探讨了不考虑政府外力作用, 在自组织情况下技术创新发展的轨迹, 然后分析了加入政府外力作用后如何改变技术创新的发展轨迹, 并分别讨论了政府在影响非线性反馈、轨道因素以及随机涨落情况下, 对技术创新轨迹的改变.
문장대기술궤도이론연구화기술창신연화연구진행료소리, 재전인연구적기출상, 장기술궤도이론여혼돈경제학적라집사체(Logistic)방정결합기래, 인입초시상태、수궤창락화비선성반궤, 구건료기술궤도이론시각적기술창신혼돈모형,용수학어언묘술기술창신적발전변화. 문장선분석료지존재일조기술궤도병홀략창락인소적간화모형, 연후재차기출상분석축보가입궤도인소화창락인소적경접근현실정황적복잡모형. 모형선시탐토료불고필정부외력작용, 재자조직정황하기술창신발전적궤적, 연후분석료가입정부외력작용후여하개변기술창신적발전궤적, 병분별토론료정부재영향비선성반궤、궤도인소이급수궤창락정황하, 대기술창신궤적적개변.
Based on the theory of technological trajectory and the logical equation , a chaos model of technological innovation with introducing the initial conditions, the random fluctuation, and the nonlinear feedback is built. First, without considered the fluctuation factor and assuming only one technological trajectory, a simplified model is analyzed. Then gradually taken the factors of trajectories and the factors of the fluctuation into consideration, a series of complex models are added. More specifically, the proposed model, which is from first discussion, is set up with the track of the development of technological innovation in the case of self-organization, and then the discussion of the changes of technological innovation in the presence of the role of government is shown.