CAJ | 학술논문

基于宁夏银川气象站的气象数据(1951年-2013年)，运用滑动平均、Mann-Kendall 方法研究银川市的气候变化趋势；采用滑动平均和 Spearman 相关系数，分析了近20 a 各气候要素变化和城市发展的关系。结果表明：总体上1990年前的气候要素变化比较平缓，但是之后各气候要素变化趋势比较明显，风速明显降低，平均、最高和最低气温显著上升，而相对湿度和日照时数呈显著下降趋势。综合分析了城市发展与气温、相对湿度以及日照时数变化的关系，发现城市工业总产值增加和建筑面积增加与温度升高有明显的正相关关系，而与相对湿度和日照时数表现为负相关关系。
기우저하은천기상참적기상수거(1951년-2013년)，운용활동평균、Mann-Kendall 방법연구은천시적기후변화추세；채용활동평균화 Spearman 상관계수，분석료근20 a 각기후요소변화화성시발전적관계。결과표명：총체상1990년전적기후요소변화비교평완，단시지후각기후요소변화추세비교명현，풍속명현강저，평균、최고화최저기온현저상승，이상대습도화일조시수정현저하강추세。종합분석료성시발전여기온、상대습도이급일조시수변화적관계，발현성시공업총산치증가화건축면적증가여온도승고유명현적정상관관계，이여상대습도화일조시수표현위부상관관계。
Based on the meteorological data from 1 95 1 to 2013 at Yinchuan station of Ningxia Hui Autonomous District,the mov-ing average and Mann-Kendall test methods were used to investigate the climate change trend in Yinchuan,and the relationship between urban development and climatic factors in recent 20 years was analyzed using the moving average and Spearman′s Rho test method.The results showed that most climatic factors varied slightly before 1 990,but changed significantly since then,and the mean,maximum,and minimum temperatures increased significantly while wind speed,mean relative humidity,and sunshine hours decreased significantly.Comprehensive analysis of the relationship between the urban development and climatic factors showed that increasing of total industrial output value and building area in the city has a positive correlation with the increasing of temperature while a negative correlation with the increasing of relative humidity and sunshine hours.