CAJ | 학술논문

根据 Tapio 脱钩理论，使用基于基期的化石能源和经济增长的复合增长率重新定义脱钩弹性，并从经济学角度给出脱钩解释，得出6种脱钩状态。将脱钩弹性分解为增长替代因子、清洁因子和节能因子，并以中国和韩国为对象，实证研究3种因子对脱钩效应的贡献大小。结果表明，增长替代因子、清洁因子和节能因子为韩国化石能源消费与经济增长弱脱钩发挥显著促进作用；3种因子在中国化石能源消费与经济增长脱钩起反向作用力，只是3种因子反向作用力在减弱。这也间接说明增加非化石能源、减缓化石能源消费增速，提高一次能源消费强度，为未来碳减排和保障经济增长提供思考方向。
근거 Tapio 탈구이론，사용기우기기적화석능원화경제증장적복합증장솔중신정의탈구탄성，병종경제학각도급출탈구해석，득출6충탈구상태。장탈구탄성분해위증장체대인자、청길인자화절능인자，병이중국화한국위대상，실증연구3충인자대탈구효응적공헌대소。결과표명，증장체대인자、청길인자화절능인자위한국화석능원소비여경제증장약탈구발휘현저촉진작용；3충인자재중국화석능원소비여경제증장탈구기반향작용력，지시3충인자반향작용력재감약。저야간접설명증가비화석능원、감완화석능원소비증속，제고일차능원소비강도，위미래탄감배화보장경제증장제공사고방향。
According to Tapio's decoupling theory,it redefines the decoupling elastic by compound growth rate between be-tween fossil energy and economic growth which based on base period.It gives decoupling explanation from economic per-spective and draws conclusion of six decoupling states.It redefines the decoupling elastic by compound growth rate between between fossil energy and economic growth which based on base period.It gives decoupling explanation from economic per-spective and draws conclusion of six decoupling states.The decoupling elastic is decomposesed into alternative growth fac-tor,cleanliness factor and energy saving factor.It makes the empirical research on the contribution of the above three fac-tors totwards decoupling effect.As a result,the three factors make significant effects on weak decoupling between fossil en-ergy consumption and economic growth in Korea.However,the three factors make reverse effort in China,which the re-verse effort is decreasing.It also indirectly suggests that share of non -fossil energy would be increased,energy consump-tion growth be slowed down and consumption intensity of primary energy be raised.They would provide referable direction for the future reduction and economic development.