哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版)
哈爾濱商業大學學報(社會科學版)
합이빈상업대학학보(사회과학판)
Journal of Harbin University of Commerce (Social Science Edition)
2015年
5期
12-20
,共9页
东北老工业基地%低碳发展%因子分析
東北老工業基地%低碳髮展%因子分析
동북로공업기지%저탄발전%인자분석
northeast old industrial base%low carbon development%factor analysis
东北地区作为我国最大的高能耗、高污染、低效率的老工业基地之一,其碳排放量一直名列全国前列。如何综合地评价东北地区低碳发展水平,成为解决东北地区从“高碳排放”到“低碳排放”的必经之路。运用因子分析方法,针对东北三省构建了包括低碳科技发展系统、低碳社会经济系统、低碳产业结构系统和低碳环境保护系统等四个方面在内的综合评价体系,同时利用2000—2012年相关数据,得出四个公共因子线性方程,并结合2012年的统计指标对辽宁省、吉林省和黑龙江省的低碳发展水平进行了客观系统的评价,结果表明:东北地区中辽宁省低碳发展水平位居第一名,低碳发展水平最高,主要源于其较为雄厚的科技发展实力;吉林省排名第二,黑龙江省处于落后地位,其低碳发展状况不太乐观,亟须采取必要的措施,提升其低碳发展水平。
東北地區作為我國最大的高能耗、高汙染、低效率的老工業基地之一,其碳排放量一直名列全國前列。如何綜閤地評價東北地區低碳髮展水平,成為解決東北地區從“高碳排放”到“低碳排放”的必經之路。運用因子分析方法,針對東北三省構建瞭包括低碳科技髮展繫統、低碳社會經濟繫統、低碳產業結構繫統和低碳環境保護繫統等四箇方麵在內的綜閤評價體繫,同時利用2000—2012年相關數據,得齣四箇公共因子線性方程,併結閤2012年的統計指標對遼寧省、吉林省和黑龍江省的低碳髮展水平進行瞭客觀繫統的評價,結果錶明:東北地區中遼寧省低碳髮展水平位居第一名,低碳髮展水平最高,主要源于其較為雄厚的科技髮展實力;吉林省排名第二,黑龍江省處于落後地位,其低碳髮展狀況不太樂觀,亟鬚採取必要的措施,提升其低碳髮展水平。
동북지구작위아국최대적고능모、고오염、저효솔적로공업기지지일,기탄배방량일직명렬전국전렬。여하종합지평개동북지구저탄발전수평,성위해결동북지구종“고탄배방”도“저탄배방”적필경지로。운용인자분석방법,침대동북삼성구건료포괄저탄과기발전계통、저탄사회경제계통、저탄산업결구계통화저탄배경보호계통등사개방면재내적종합평개체계,동시이용2000—2012년상관수거,득출사개공공인자선성방정,병결합2012년적통계지표대요녕성、길림성화흑룡강성적저탄발전수평진행료객관계통적평개,결과표명:동북지구중요녕성저탄발전수평위거제일명,저탄발전수평최고,주요원우기교위웅후적과기발전실력;길림성배명제이,흑룡강성처우락후지위,기저탄발전상황불태악관,극수채취필요적조시,제승기저탄발전수평。
As the Northeast Old Industrial Base is one of the largest of high energy consumption, high pollution and low efficiency Northeast, its car-bon emissions has been ranked the forefront.How to comprehensive evaluation of development level of low carbon in northeast China, is the only way to solve the problem from "high carbon"to "low carbon"in Northeast.By the factor analysis ,a comprehensive assessment system is built for the 4 aspects in Northeast China, including low carbon technology development system, low carbon economic system, low carbon industry structure system and low carbon environmental protection system.At the same time, the linear equations of the four public factors were obtained by using 2000 -2012 data.According to 2012 statistical index, the low carbon development level of Liaoning Province,Jilin province and Heilongjiang prov-ince has carried on the objective evaluation system .The results showed that: the level of the low carbon development of Liaoning Province ranked first in Northeast Area ,and low carbon development level is the highest, because of its relatively strong technology development strength;Jilin Prov-ince ranked second;Heilongjiang Province is in a backward position, not very optimistic about the situation of low carbon development.So it is ur-gent to take necessary measures to improve the level of low carbon development.