指挥控制与仿真
指揮控製與倣真
지휘공제여방진
Command Control & Simulation
2015年
5期
62-66
,共5页
DBN%远程火力%动态评估%证据理论%模糊集合理论
DBN%遠程火力%動態評估%證據理論%模糊集閤理論
DBN%원정화력%동태평고%증거이론%모호집합이론
dynamic Bayesian network%long-distance firepower%dynamic assessment%evidence theory%fuzzy-set theory
针对炮兵远程火力毁伤评估中获取信息的信度和效度等问题，将证据理论引入DBN（ Dynamic Bayesian Net?work，动态贝叶斯网络）进行毁伤效果的评估。通过构建炮兵远程火力毁伤指标体系，利用模糊集合理论将毁伤指标进行离散划分，建立基于证据理论与DBN相结合的毁伤评估模型，并基于连接树（ Junction Tree）算法实现对火力毁伤效果的动态评估。最后，通过仿真验证分析，得出了较为可靠的结论，为远程火力毁伤效果科学评估提供了有效的方法。
針對砲兵遠程火力燬傷評估中穫取信息的信度和效度等問題，將證據理論引入DBN（ Dynamic Bayesian Net?work，動態貝葉斯網絡）進行燬傷效果的評估。通過構建砲兵遠程火力燬傷指標體繫，利用模糊集閤理論將燬傷指標進行離散劃分，建立基于證據理論與DBN相結閤的燬傷評估模型，併基于連接樹（ Junction Tree）算法實現對火力燬傷效果的動態評估。最後，通過倣真驗證分析，得齣瞭較為可靠的結論，為遠程火力燬傷效果科學評估提供瞭有效的方法。
침대포병원정화력훼상평고중획취신식적신도화효도등문제，장증거이론인입DBN（ Dynamic Bayesian Net?work，동태패협사망락）진행훼상효과적평고。통과구건포병원정화력훼상지표체계，이용모호집합이론장훼상지표진행리산화분，건립기우증거이론여DBN상결합적훼상평고모형，병기우련접수（ Junction Tree）산법실현대화력훼상효과적동태평고。최후，통과방진험증분석，득출료교위가고적결론，위원정화력훼상효과과학평고제공료유효적방법。
Aimming at on the problem of the reliability and certainty of the damage information in the assessment of artillery long?distance firepower damage, the evidence theory is introduced into DBN to estimate the effect of the damage. The index system of artillery long?distance firepower is built, and it is discretely divided through fuzzy?set theory. The model of the artil?lery long?distance firepower damage assessment which is based on the dynamic Bayesian network combined with the evidence theory is built to implement the dynamic assessment of firepower damage through the junction tree algorithm. And it is quali?tatively analyzed, which promotes the scientificalness and accuracy of the long?distance firepower damage assessment. Final?ly, the model is validated by simulation, and the more reliable conclusion is drawn which provides effective ways to assess the long?distance firepower damage scientifically.
