CAJ | 학술논문

本文采用系统熵和区位熵对我国沿海地区1996-2013年旅游产业结构与集聚特征进行测度和分析，并运用时间序列平稳性检验和协整检验，通过构建向量自回归模型、脉冲响应函数和预测方差分解，探讨沿海地区旅游产业结构和集聚之间的相互关系和作用机制。研究表明沿海地区旅游产业结构与集聚存在唯一的协整关系，旅游产业结构对集聚先是负向响应，后为正向响应，且程度持续减弱；旅游产业集聚对来自旅游产业结构产生正向响应，呈现显著波动态势并逐渐趋于平稳。
본문채용계통적화구위적대아국연해지구1996-2013년여유산업결구여집취특정진행측도화분석，병운용시간서렬평은성검험화협정검험，통과구건향량자회귀모형、맥충향응함수화예측방차분해，탐토연해지구여유산업결구화집취지간적상호관계화작용궤제。연구표명연해지구여유산업결구여집취존재유일적협정관계，여유산업결구대집취선시부향향응，후위정향향응，차정도지속감약；여유산업집취대래자여유산업결구산생정향향응，정현현저파동태세병축점추우평은。
The paper adopts system entropy and location entropy to measure and analyze tourism industrial structure and agglomeration in the coast area of China in 1996-2013. Using time series ADF test co-integration test, by constructing VAR model, impulse response function and variance decomposition, the paper discusses the interrelation and mechanism of action between the tourism industrial structure and agglomeration in coastal areas. Study shows that there is only one co-integration. The tourism industry has significant negative effect on agglomeration at first, then appears positive effect, and the effect continues to lose strength. The tourism agglomeration has positive effect on industrial structure, which shows significant fluctuations and gradually stabilized.